Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Wells is Under 11.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:50PM UTC
NBA

Jaylen Wells

Memphis Grizzlies

+6.5% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 -130 (1.77)
+6.5% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Wed 4 Mar, 1:00AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Wells (toe) should continue competing for rotation minutes on the wing despite Memphis adding Cameron Boozer with the No. 3 overall pick.
updated Jun 24, 5:36PM UTC · 27d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
63.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+6.5%
Predicted Value
9.5 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points63.0%—56.5%1.59+6.5%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jaylen Wells (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 11.5 Points (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Alright, let's talk about Jaylen Wells. This guy's been a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to putting up points, especially on the road. Take a look at his last five games. Wells has been averaging only 7 points overall and his performance doesn't seem to pick up when he's playing away from home. Now, I know what you're thinking: He's put up an average of 13 points against the Timberwolves. True, but remember he's in their house this time around and that's where his numbers have been less than stellar. His under 11.5 points have hit three times in the last three games, and three times in the last four on the road. So, looking at the data, it feels like a smart move to target Wells for under 11.5 in this matchup. The numbers, it seems, are on our side.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers MadeSeason marketNo line posted

Jaylen Wells has active 3-Pointers Made prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Jaylen Wells has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks 3-Pointers 3.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jaylen Wells (Memphis Grizzlies) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jaylen Wells is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jaylen Wells is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday 4 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks