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The latest Bet Better model pick for Santi Aldama is Over 16.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 64%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +7.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:09PM UTC
NBA

Santi Aldama

Memphis Grizzlies

+7.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 16.5 -127 (1.79)
+7.8% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Wed 4 Mar, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
63.7%
Implied Probability
55.9%
Model Edge
+7.8%
Predicted Value
19.0 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs63.7%—55.9%1.57+7.8%

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AI Analysis

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Santi Aldama (Memphis Grizzlies) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ah, Santi Aldama - the Spaniard sensation of the Memphis Grizzlies. His performance on the court is a sight to behold, and his stats back it up. You see, Aldama's been steadily racking up an impressive average of 13.2 points and 6.4 rebounds overall in his last 5 games. Even on the road, he's held his own, posting 9.6 points and 4.6 rebounds. And let's not forget his face-offs with the Timberwolves - he's averaged a respectable 9.2 points and 4.6 rebounds against them. Given his recent hot streak - hitting the mark in 2 of his last 3 games and 11 of his last 19 away games - I'm putting my money on Aldama to go over 16.5 points + rebounds in the upcoming game. So, if you're looking for a promising prop bet, I'd say Aldama's your guy.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
16.1avg · last 10
L518.2Szn18.9Home20.1Away17.8Best40
9+89%
14+76%
19+52%
24+25%
29+14%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 16.1 · hi 32 · lo 9
141491122159152032

Santi Aldama is averaging 16.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.9, best 40). He clears 19+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Santi Aldama (Memphis Grizzlies) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Santi Aldama is Over 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.8% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday 4 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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