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The latest Bet Better model pick for Julius Randle is Over 18.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:57AM UTC
NBA

Julius Randle

Minnesota Timberwolves

+20.3% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 18.5 -119 (1.84) · $100→$184
+20.3% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 2:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.6%
Implied Probability
54.3%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
22.3 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points74.6%—54.3%1.34+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Julius Randle (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 18.5 Points (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Minnesota Timberwolves gear up to clash with the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Julius Randle to light up the scoreboard. Randle has been on an absolute tear lately, averaging a robust 23.4 points over his last five games, with a remarkable uptick to 26.2 points when he's on the road. Facing the Timberwolves, he's been particularly lethal, hitting for an average of 24.4 points against them recently.What's even more impressive? Randle has hit the over in every one of his last five games and has been flawless on the road too, going 4-for-4 in that span. With a projected output of 22.34, surpassing the 18.5 mark seems not just achievable, but likely. Given the stakes and Randle's recent form, placing your bet on him to score over 18.5 points could be a savvy move for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.7avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.6Home1.6Away1.6Best8
1+76%
2+40%
3+23%
4+14%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 4 · lo 0
0421310114

Julius Randle is averaging 1.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 8). He clears 2+ in 40% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
5.9avg · last 10
L57.2Szn4.8Home5.1Away4.6Best17
1+100%
3+87%
5+46%
7+23%
9+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 5.9 · hi 12 · lo 3
556434611123

Julius Randle is averaging 5.9 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.8, best 17). He clears 5+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
22.0avg · last 10
L524.0Szn19.2Home19.4Away19.0Best57
9+95%
14+81%
19+56%
24+24%
29+5%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 22 · hi 31 · lo 10
10162722252318242431

Julius Randle is averaging 22.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.2, best 57). He clears 19+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
27.9avg · last 10
L531.2Szn24.0Home24.5Away23.7Best58
14+94%
19+79%
24+54%
29+24%
34+13%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 27.9 · hi 36 · lo 15
15213326282724353634

Julius Randle is averaging 27.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.0, best 58). He clears 24+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
28.1avg · last 10
L530.0Szn26.1Home25.9Away26.3Best61
16+92%
21+79%
26+55%
31+28%
36+5%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 28.1 · hi 36 · lo 20
20213127322821313436

Julius Randle is averaging 28.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 26.1, best 61). He clears 26+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
34.0avg · last 10
L537.2Szn30.9Home30.9Away30.9Best62
21+92%
26+74%
31+51%
36+24%
41+15%
Game log vs O 30.5avg 34 · hi 46 · lo 25
25263731353227424639

Julius Randle is averaging 34.0 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 30.9, best 62). He clears 31+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.0avg · last 10
L513.2Szn11.7Home11.5Away11.9Best27
6+99%
9+76%
12+53%
15+21%
18+10%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 12 · hi 22 · lo 8
1510109109918228

Julius Randle is averaging 12.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.7, best 27). He clears 12+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points 18.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points 14.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs 24.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points — — — Pending
06 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Julius Randle (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Julius Randle is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Julius Randle is Over 18.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 21 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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