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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 13.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves

+11.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 13.5 -345 (1.29)
+11.7% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
89.2%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
10.5 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds89.2%77.5%1.12+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves head to Denver, all eyes will be on Rudy Gobert's rebounding prowess. However, this matchup might not favor him as much as one would think. Gobert has averaged just 11 rebounds over his last five games, and when you factor in the altitude and Denver's strong rebounding presence, things start to look even tougher for him. Historically, he's snagged around 10 boards against the Nuggets, which indicates that hitting the over on 13.5 could be a stretch. Plus, playing away from home has seen him average 11.8 rebounds, but that's still shy of our target. With a hit rate of just 5 out of his last 6 games falling under this mark and a solid 77.5% implied probability, I wouldn't be surprised if Gobert finishes under the 13.5 threshold this Saturday night. It's a smart play to lean on here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.3avg · last 10
L50.2Szn1.6Home1.6Away1.6Best8
2+43%
4+12%
6+1%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
0101000001

Rudy Gobert is averaging 0.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 8). He clears 2+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.6avg · last 10
L52.0Szn1.4Home1.4Away1.5Best9
1+73%
2+41%
3+19%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.6 · hi 4 · lo 0
4101023041

Rudy Gobert is averaging 1.6 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.4, best 9). He clears 1+ in 73% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.1avg · last 10
L511.6Szn11.6Home12.1Away11.0Best35
2+99%
7+80%
12+46%
17+22%
22+4%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 9.1 · hi 27 · lo 1
192615279598

Rudy Gobert is averaging 9.1 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.6, best 35). He clears 12+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
19.7avg · last 10
L524.2Szn22.4Home23.5Away21.1Best52
12+91%
17+70%
22+51%
27+30%
32+14%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 19.7 · hi 51 · lo 4
378124155120142214

Rudy Gobert is averaging 19.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.4, best 52). He clears 22+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
20.0avg · last 10
L524.4Szn24.0Home25.1Away22.7Best53
14+86%
19+72%
24+51%
29+31%
34+15%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 20 · hi 51 · lo 5
379125155120142215

Rudy Gobert is averaging 20.0 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.0, best 53). He clears 24+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
10.6avg · last 10
L512.6Szn10.8Home11.4Away10.1Best28
7+83%
9+70%
11+49%
13+28%
15+16%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.6 · hi 24 · lo 3
186631024119136

Rudy Gobert is averaging 10.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.8, best 28). He clears 11+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Rebounds 13.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 11.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 23.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs Pending
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Blocks Pending

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About This Player

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 13.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Saturday 18 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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