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Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves

+11.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 13.5 -345 (1.29)
+11.7% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Sat 18 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
89.2%
Implied Probability
77.5%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
10.5 Rebounds

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves head to Denver, all eyes will be on Rudy Gobert's rebounding prowess. However, this matchup might not favor him as much as one would think. Gobert has averaged just 11 rebounds over his last five games, and when you factor in the altitude and Denver's strong rebounding presence, things start to look even tougher for him. Historically, he's snagged around 10 boards against the Nuggets, which indicates that hitting the over on 13.5 could be a stretch. Plus, playing away from home has seen him average 11.8 rebounds, but that's still shy of our target. With a hit rate of just 5 out of his last 6 games falling under this mark and a solid 77.5% implied probability, I wouldn't be surprised if Gobert finishes under the 13.5 threshold this Saturday night. It's a smart play to lean on here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 44.4% (4/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 11.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves Assists 2.5 Under -192 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds Pending
07 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Minnesota Timberwolves Points Pending
04 Mar 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 44.4% (4/9). The latest model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 13.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Saturday 18 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.