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Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves

+17.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 11.5 -108 (1.93)
+17.7% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
69.5%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+17.7%
Predicted Value
10.3 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves prepare to take on the Hornets, eyes turn to Rudy Gobert's rebounding prop, set at 11.5. Despite his towering presence, the numbers suggest a decline in output. Over the last five games, Gobert has averaged 11.8 rebounds, but at home, that number jumps to 14.4-making it tempting to back the over. However, against the Hornets, he's averaged just 11.2 boards, and at home, that dips to 12.4. Given that he's hit the under in one of his last three games, it's clear that he's not as dominant as expected. Charlotte's pace and style can disrupt his usual dominance on the glass, potentially leading to a performance below his average. With an expected stat value of just 10.26, taking the under feels like the smart play here. Let's see if Gobert can defy the odds, but caution seems wise for this matchup

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 55.6% (5/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 11.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves Assists 2.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds Pending
07 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Minnesota Timberwolves Points Pending
04 Mar 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 55.6% (5/9). The latest model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 11.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday 5 April at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.