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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 13.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 89%, implied 78%, edge +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:41PM UTC
NBA

Rudy Gobert

Minnesota Timberwolves

+11.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 13.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
+11.7% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
10.5 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.2% · the book's price implies 77.5% · gap +11.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds89.2%77.5%1.12+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves head to Denver, all eyes will be on Rudy Gobert's rebounding prowess. However, this matchup might not favor him as much as one would think. Gobert has averaged just 11 rebounds over his last five games, and when you factor in the altitude and Denver's strong rebounding presence, things start to look even tougher for him. Historically, he's snagged around 10 boards against the Nuggets, which indicates that hitting the over on 13.5 could be a stretch. Plus, playing away from home has seen him average 11.8 rebounds, but that's still shy of our target. With a hit rate of just 5 out of his last 6 games falling under this mark and a solid 77.5% implied probability, I wouldn't be surprised if Gobert finishes under the 13.5 threshold this Saturday night. It's a smart play to lean on here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Rudy Gobert — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Rudy Gobert averaged 11.6 points, 10.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 32.7 minutes per game, shooting 65.9% from the field.

11.6
PPG
10.8
RPG
1.6
APG
0.8
SPG
1.4
BPG
32.7
MPG
65.9%
FG%

Rudy Gobert — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Rudy Gobert has played 29.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.8
MPG (L5)
11.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Rudy Gobert — points hit rate

Rudy Gobert has scored over 12.5 points in 48% of 680 career games.

o11.557%
o12.548%
o15.531%
o20.510%

Rudy Gobert — home vs away scoring

At home Rudy Gobert averages 12.1 points per game; on the road, 11.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.1
PPG at home
11.0
PPG on the road

Rudy Gobert — scoring by opponent

Rudy Gobert scores most against the BKN, averaging 18.3 points per game in that matchup.

18.3
BKN
17.3
CHI
15.9
CHA
15.9
MIN
15.5
POR
15.1
WSH

Rudy Gobert — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Rudy Gobert has averaged 9.1 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS30861
10 May@ GS279130
8 Mayvs GS27590
6 Mayvs GS269110
30 Apr@ LAL3927240
27 Aprvs LAL265100
25 Aprvs LAL25131
22 Apr@ LAL29660
19 Apr@ LAL24261
13 Aprvs UTAH3819180
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pts + Rebs Pending
27 Jan 26 Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves Blocks Pending

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About This Player

Rudy Gobert (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rudy Gobert is Under 13.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Saturday 18 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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