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The latest Bet Better model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 63%, edge +14.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:34PM UTC
NBA

Donte DiVincenzo

Minnesota Timberwolves

+14.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 4.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+14.6% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
OUT
DiVincenzo will undergo surgery Sunday to repair a ruptured right Achilles tendon that he suffered during the Timberwolves Game 4 win over the Nuggets on Saturday.
updated Apr 26, 5:52PM UTC · 127d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
3.1 Assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.9% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +14.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists77.9%—63.3%1.28+14.6%

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AI Analysis

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Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 4.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes should be on Donte DiVincenzo. While he's been a solid playmaker, the numbers suggest he may struggle to hit 4.5 assists tonight. Averaging just 3 assists in his last five games, DiVincenzo has shown a slight uptick at home with 4.6, but that's not quite enough to instill confidence against a Jazz team that's been tough on assists. In their recent matchup, he managed only 3.8 assists, even at home. With an expected stat value of 3.1, the under looks enticing. Moreover, his overall hit rate indicates he's stayed under this mark 16 out of the last 20 times, and at home, he's only surpassed 4.5 assists in 8 of his last 11. This matchup may just play into those trends, making the under a savvy play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Donte DiVincenzo — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Donte DiVincenzo averaged 11.1 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists in 25.9 minutes per game, shooting 40.7% from the field and 38.0% from three-point range.

11.1
PPG
3.6
RPG
3.6
APG
1.2
SPG
0.3
BPG
25.9
MPG
40.7%
FG%
38.0%
3P%

Donte DiVincenzo — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Donte DiVincenzo has played 26.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

26.6
MPG (L5)
7.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Donte DiVincenzo — points hit rate

Donte DiVincenzo has scored over 11.5 points in 26% of 216 career games.

o11.526%
o12.521%
o15.511%

Donte DiVincenzo — home vs away scoring

At home Donte DiVincenzo averages 12.5 points per game; on the road, 9.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.5
PPG at home
9.9
PPG on the road

Donte DiVincenzo — scoring by opponent

Donte DiVincenzo scores most against the IND, averaging 16.5 points per game in that matchup.

16.5
IND
12.8
WSH
12.2
DAL
12.0
SA
11.8
BKN
11.7
PHX

Donte DiVincenzo — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 8.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS26933
10 May@ GS16220
8 Mayvs GS26935
6 Mayvs GS33734
30 Apr@ LAL32945
27 Aprvs LAL29822
25 Aprvs LAL311054
22 Apr@ LAL16432
19 Apr@ LAL25954
13 Aprvs UTAH281632
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.6% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 19 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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