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The latest Bet Better model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +14.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Donte DiVincenzo

Minnesota Timberwolves

+14.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Assists Under 4.5 -172 (1.58)
+14.6% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
OUT
DiVincenzo will undergo surgery Sunday to repair a ruptured right Achilles tendon that he suffered during the Timberwolves Game 4 win over the Nuggets on Saturday.
updated Apr 26, 5:52PM UTC · 85d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.9%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+14.6%
Predicted Value
3.1 Assists

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists77.9%—63.3%1.28+14.6%

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AI Analysis

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Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 4.5 Assists (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Utah Jazz, targeting Donte DiVincenzo for under 4.5 assists feels like a smart play. While he's had a solid run at home, averaging 4.6 assists over his last five games, the matchup against Utah shifts the narrative. DiVincenzo's average against the Jazz dips to 3.8, and he's only cleared 4.5 assists in about 36% of his last 20 outings. His performance at home has been impressive, but the consistency just isn't there when you look closer. With an expected stat value of just 3.1 and an overall hit rate suggesting he's cleared this mark only 8 out of his last 11 home games, the under seems like a savvy move. Given the Jazz's defensive schemes and DiVincenzo's fluctuating playmaking role, this bet offers solid value as he likely falls short on the assist front tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
3.1avg · last 10
L53.4Szn3.6Home4.1Away3.1Best11
2+89%
4+45%
6+17%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.1 · hi 5 · lo 0
2424254503

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 3.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.6, best 11). He clears 4+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
8.3avg · last 10
L57.2Szn11.1Home12.5Away9.9Best40
1+100%
6+82%
11+49%
16+17%
21+8%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 8.3 · hi 16 · lo 2
169410897929

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 8.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.1, best 40). He clears 11+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.4avg · last 10
L510.6Szn14.7Home16.6Away12.9Best42
5+96%
10+80%
15+48%
20+17%
25+8%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 11.4 · hi 18 · lo 2
181361410141114212

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 11.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.7, best 42). He clears 15+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.6avg · last 10
L510.2Szn14.8Home16.4Away13.3Best45
5+96%
10+77%
15+45%
20+17%
25+8%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 11.6 · hi 19 · lo 4
191471510131012412

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 11.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.8, best 45). He clears 15+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
14.7avg · last 10
L513.6Szn18.3Home20.5Away16.4Best47
8+94%
13+77%
18+56%
23+20%
28+8%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 14.7 · hi 21 · lo 4
211891912181417415

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 14.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.3, best 47). He clears 18+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
6.4avg · last 10
L56.4Szn7.2Home8.0Away6.5Best21
1+100%
4+92%
7+51%
10+21%
13+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.4 · hi 9 · lo 2
5959497826

Donte DiVincenzo is averaging 6.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.2, best 21). He clears 7+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists 4.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Donte DiVincenzo is Under 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.6% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday 19 March at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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