As the Orlando Magic prepare to face the Indiana Pacers, Jevon Carter's three-point shooting comes under scrutiny, particularly for the under on 2.5 made threes. While Carter has shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 2.4 threes in his last five games, the trend shifts when he's at home, where he's hitting just 2 per game. Against the Pacers, he's notched only 1.2 threes in their last few matchups. The numbers suggest a more conservative outing; his overall hit rate is impressive over the last ten games, but that's buoyed by some favorable matchups. In fact, he's hit the under in 12 of his last 15 home games. With the Magic's offensive dynamics and the Pacers' defensive schemes, we can reasonably expect Carter to fall short of that 2.5 mark. It's time to capitalize on this trending under.
Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-123)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingWhen the Indiana Pacers hit the road to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Pascal Siakam. This matchup presents a prime opportunity for Siakam to shine, especially considering his recent form. Averaging nearly 25 points and 6 rebounds against the Magic in their last few encounters, he's shown a knack for exploiting their defense. While his last five games have seen him hover around 24.2 points and 5.2 rebounds, it's his away form that truly stands out-hitting the over in 16 of his last 20 road games. With an expected stat line of around 28.94, it's clear he's well-equipped to exceed that 24.5 mark. The Pacers' inconsistent defense could play right into his hands, making this bet an enticing prospect as he looks to lead the charge for the Pacers in a crucial away game.
Jett Howard (Orlando Magic) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-167)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs we gear up for the matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Indiana Pacers, Jett Howard's shooting performance is worth a closer look, particularly when considering the under on his threes made at 1.5. Over his last five games, Howard has averaged just 1.4 threes, and when we zoom in on his home games, that number holds steady. Historically, he's struggled against the Pacers, averaging only 0.7 threes at home. Now, against a team that tends to limit perimeter shots, we can expect Howard to face added defensive pressure, which further diminishes his chances of knocking down two or more. With a hit rate of 12 out of his last 15 home games still supporting the under, this looks like a solid play. The numbers suggest that keeping Howard under 1.5 threes made is not just a possibility-it's a strong likelihood.
Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAaron Nesmith is primed for a standout performance against the Orlando Magic, and betting on him to exceed 14.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy move. Over his last five games, he's averaged a solid 15.6 points, clearly finding his rhythm. Even more compelling is his away form, where he's ramped it up to 17.8 points per game.Against the Magic, he's typically been effective, averaging 12.6 points per game, but his rebounding against them has been notable too, with 5.2 boards on average. Given that he's hit this combined total in three of his last four outings, there's a strong trend favoring him to go over tonight. With the pressure on and a favorable matchup, expect Nesmith to not just meet but exceed that 14.5 mark as he continues his impressive run on the road.