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Franz Wagner

Orlando Magic

Value call

Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) has one live pick today: under 7.5 assists that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
6.3 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.6% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +26.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Orlando Magic @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA · Indoor
Tue 10 Nov, 10:00 PM ET
Franz Wagner
under 7.5 assists
Assists Under 7.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Franz Wagner is Under 7.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 10, 4:28PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$2,939 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists69.6%—43.5%1.44+26.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic: Franz Wagner Under 7.5 Assists (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Franz Wagner has been playing well, but he's facing the Sacramento Kings at the Golden 1 Center. The Kings are known for their defense, allowing players to get only a few assists. They force turnovers pretty regularly, which can disrupt a player's rhythm and limit their chances to set up teammates. With Wagner's assists set at under 7.5, it feels right based on how the Kings defend. The risk here is that he could have a breakout game regardless of the matchup. Still, given the Kings' ability to pressure the ball, this is a solid bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Franz Wagner's lines for Wed 11 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Assists 7.5

Franz Wagner's assists line is 7.5.

Franz Wagner — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Franz Wagner averaged 24.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 34.1 minutes per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 28.2% from three-point range.

24.1
PPG
5.7
RPG
4.8
APG
1.3
SPG
0.4
BPG
34.1
MPG
46.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%

Franz Wagner — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Franz Wagner has played 38.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

38.8
MPG (L5)
25.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Franz Wagner — points hit rate

Franz Wagner has scored over 15.5 points in 39% of 72 career games.

o11.569%
o12.564%
o15.539%
o20.515%

Franz Wagner — home vs away scoring

At home Franz Wagner averages 24.5 points per game; on the road, 23.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

24.5
PPG at home
23.7
PPG on the road

Franz Wagner — scoring by opponent

Franz Wagner scores most against the WSH, averaging 22.9 points per game in that matchup.

22.9
WSH
22.0
DET
21.1
PHI
20.2
IND
20.1
MIL
19.1
ATL

Franz Wagner — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Franz Wagner has averaged 23.8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
29 Apr@ BOS402544
27 Aprvs BOS402467
25 Aprvs BOS383278
23 Apr@ BOS402544
20 Apr@ BOS362335
15 Aprvs ATL3413133
9 Aprvs BOS262382
8 Aprvs ATL402266
3 Apr@ WSH342755
1 Apr@ SA362457
Quick answers:How many assists does Franz Wagner average?How many points does Franz Wagner average?How many rebounds does Franz Wagner average?How many three-pointers does Franz Wagner average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Oct 26 Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors Points 23.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
28 Oct 26 Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors Points 23.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Orlando Magic @ Toronto Raptors Assists 5.5 Under +115 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Franz Wagner is Under 7.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.1% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings on Tuesday 10 November at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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