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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Franz Wagner is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 94 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 94%, implied 68%, edge +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:23PM UTC
NBA

Franz Wagner

Orlando Magic

+26.3% Edge
🔥 28 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+26.3% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Wagner (calf) has been ruled out for Game 7 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs Sunday against the Pistons, Jason Beede of the Orlando Sentinel reports.
updated Jun 16, 2:42PM UTC · 76d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
94 in 100
Predicted
30.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 94.4% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +26.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs94.4%68.0%1.06+26.3%

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AI Analysis

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Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Franz Wagner is on a remarkable roll, and Friday night's matchup against the Charlotte Hornets could be another showcase for his talents. At home, he's been a scoring machine, averaging 22.4 points and 6.8 rebounds in his last five games at the Amway Center. His ability to light up the scoreboard against Charlotte is evident; he's consistently dropped an average of 22.4 points in their recent encounters. Consider this: he's hit the combined points and rebounds mark of 19.5 in every single game over his last 20 outings, with an overall average of 25.8 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five. With an impressive 30.46 expected stat value, it's clear that Wagner is primed for another standout performance. The Hornets will struggle to contain him, making the Over on his points and rebounds a compelling play. Get ready for a night of fireworks from Wagner!

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Pick History & Track Record

Franz Wagner — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Franz Wagner averaged 24.1 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists in 34.1 minutes per game, shooting 46.0% from the field and 28.2% from three-point range.

24.1
PPG
5.7
RPG
4.8
APG
1.3
SPG
0.4
BPG
34.1
MPG
46.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%

Franz Wagner — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Franz Wagner has played 38.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

38.8
MPG (L5)
25.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Franz Wagner — points hit rate

Franz Wagner has scored over 15.5 points in 39% of 72 career games.

o11.569%
o12.564%
o15.539%
o20.515%

Franz Wagner — home vs away scoring

At home Franz Wagner averages 24.5 points per game; on the road, 23.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

24.5
PPG at home
23.7
PPG on the road

Franz Wagner — scoring by opponent

Franz Wagner scores most against the WSH, averaging 22.9 points per game in that matchup.

22.9
WSH
22.0
DET
21.1
PHI
20.2
IND
20.1
MIL
19.1
ATL

Franz Wagner — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Franz Wagner has averaged 23.8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
29 Apr@ BOS402544
27 Aprvs BOS402467
25 Aprvs BOS383278
23 Apr@ BOS402544
20 Apr@ BOS362335
15 Aprvs ATL3413133
9 Aprvs BOS262382
8 Aprvs ATL402266
3 Apr@ WSH342755
1 Apr@ SA362457
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Franz Wagner is currently on a 28-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Franz Wagner is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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