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The latest Bet Better model pick for Franz Wagner is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Franz Wagner

Orlando Magic

+26.3% Edge
🔥 28 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 -213 (1.47)
+26.3% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Wagner (calf) has been ruled out for Game 7 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs Sunday against the Pistons, Jason Beede of the Orlando Sentinel reports.
updated Jun 16, 2:42PM UTC · 34d old
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Model Probability
94.4%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+26.3%
Predicted Value
30.5 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs94.4%68.0%1.06+26.3%

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AI Analysis

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Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Franz Wagner is on a remarkable roll, and Friday night's matchup against the Charlotte Hornets could be another showcase for his talents. At home, he's been a scoring machine, averaging 22.4 points and 6.8 rebounds in his last five games at the Amway Center. His ability to light up the scoreboard against Charlotte is evident; he's consistently dropped an average of 22.4 points in their recent encounters. Consider this: he's hit the combined points and rebounds mark of 19.5 in every single game over his last 20 outings, with an overall average of 25.8 points and 4.8 rebounds in his last five. With an impressive 30.46 expected stat value, it's clear that Wagner is primed for another standout performance. The Hornets will struggle to contain him, making the Over on his points and rebounds a compelling play. Get ready for a night of fireworks from Wagner!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
5.1avg · last 10
L55.6Szn4.8Home4.6Away4.9Best11
1+98%
3+83%
5+58%
7+20%
9+3%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 5.1 · hi 8 · lo 2
7562354874

Franz Wagner is averaging 5.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.8, best 11). He clears 5+ in 58% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
23.8avg · last 10
L525.8Szn24.1Home24.5Away23.7Best38
14+94%
19+82%
24+52%
29+29%
34+6%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 23.8 · hi 32 · lo 13
24272223132325322425

Franz Wagner is averaging 23.8 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.1, best 38). He clears 24+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
28.9avg · last 10
L531.4Szn28.9Home29.2Away28.6Best48
19+92%
24+79%
29+48%
34+29%
39+9%
Game log vs O 28.5avg 28.9 · hi 40 · lo 16
31322825162829403129

Franz Wagner is averaging 28.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 28.9, best 48). He clears 29+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
29.9avg · last 10
L530.6Szn29.8Home30.5Away29.3Best47
20+94%
25+77%
30+48%
35+27%
40+11%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 29.9 · hi 39 · lo 26
29322831262629393029

Franz Wagner is averaging 29.9 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.8, best 47). He clears 30+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.3avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.3Home1.3Away1.3Best6
1+71%
2+41%
3+9%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 2 · lo 0
0122212201

Franz Wagner is averaging 1.3 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.3, best 6). He clears 1+ in 71% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points 14.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs Pending
08 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs Pending
08 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic Points Pending

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About This Player

Franz Wagner (Orlando Magic) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Franz Wagner is currently on a 28-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Franz Wagner is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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