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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
Indiana Pacers

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Indiana Pacers (Moneyline)
For Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers (NBA), model win probability 65.4%, fair odds 1.53, book price +190, model edge +30.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Indiana Pacers
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Indiana PacersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

Indiana Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton GDay-to-day
  • Jarace Walker FDay-to-day
  • Pascal Siakam FDay-to-day
  • Ben Sheppard GDay-to-day
  • Aaron Nesmith GDay-to-day
  • T.J. McConnell GDay-to-day
  • Johnny Furphy GOut
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ Indiana PacersNo line posted

Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadIndiana Pacers spreadNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineIndiana Pacers to winNo line posted

Indiana Pacers (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Indiana Pacers totalNo line posted

Indiana Pacers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Indiana Pacers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ Indiana Pacers — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics : Over 198.5 Total Points (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Over 198.5' total points for the Pacers vs Celtics game is backed by several robust statistics. Both teams have been displaying high-scoring performances recently. The Pacers have averaged 122.2 points in their last five games, while the Celtics have averaged 112.2 points. Even when considering home and away statistics, the Pacers have scored an average of 121 points at home and the Celtics 120.2 points away. Moreover, both teams' defenses have allowed significant points to their opponents, with the Pacers conceding an average of 130.6 points at home and the Celtics 111.8 points away. These numbers suggest a high-scoring game is likely, making the 'Over 198.5' total points a statistically sound bet.

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics : Indiana Pacers Over 98.5 Team Total Points (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Indiana Pacers Over 98.5' is a promising choice, as the Pacers have consistently scored above this threshold in their recent games. Over their last five games, regardless of location, they've averaged a high 122.2 points, far exceeding the 98.5 point line. This impressive scoring trend continues even when only considering home games, with an average of 121 points. In addition, the model prediction projects Indiana to score approximately 117.94 points, almost 20 points higher than the bet's point line. Despite a mixed recent win-loss record, Indiana's point production remains robust. Therefore, the Pacers' ability to generate high scores makes this bet a statistically sound option.

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics : Indiana Pacers win (+190)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Despite a slightly weaker home record, the Indiana Pacers have consistently outscored the Boston Celtics in recent games. The Pacers' overall team score for the last five games is 122.2, a full 10 points higher than the Celtics' 112.2. Even when considering only home games, the Pacers' score is slightly higher (121) than the Celtics' away score (120.2). This scoring advantage could be a decisive factor in the game's outcome. Moreover, while the Celtics have a superior recent away record (4-1), their away record against the Pacers is only 2-3, suggesting they may struggle in these match-ups. Taking these factors into account, the bet on the Indiana Pacers to win on the Moneyline market appears statistically sound.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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