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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyrese Haliburton is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On the Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 93%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +4.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:17AM UTC
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton

Indiana Pacers

+4.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 18.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+4.2% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 22 Jun, 8:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Haliburton said Saturday that he feels "great," Scott Agness of FieldhouseFiles.com reports.
updated Jun 27, 8:26PM UTC · 44d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.7%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+4.2%
Predicted Value
13.5 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts92.7%88.5%1.08+4.2%

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AI Analysis

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Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tyrese Haliburton's recent performance against the Oklahoma City Thunder shows a trend that makes an Under 18.5 bet on his total rebounds and assists for this game a reasonable choice. Looking at his last five games, Haliburton's average rebounds and assists are 6.4 and 10.4, respectively, which total 16.8, lower than the set point of 18.5. Furthermore, when we look at his away game performance, his averages drop to 5.8 rebounds and 8 assists, clearly falling under the line. He also averages fewer rebounds (5.3) and assists (7.3) when playing against the Thunder, which further validates the choice. All these stats suggest a lower probability of Haliburton surpassing the 18.5 total rebounds and assists threshold, making the Under bet a statistically sound decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tyrese Haliburton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 83 games in the 2024-25 season, Tyrese Haliburton averaged 18.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists in 33.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.3% from the field and 38.3% from three-point range.

18.5
PPG
3.8
RPG
9.2
APG
1.3
SPG
0.7
BPG
33.7
MPG
47.3%
FG%
38.3%
3P%

Tyrese Haliburton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tyrese Haliburton has played 32.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.8
MPG (L5)
17.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tyrese Haliburton — points hit rate

Tyrese Haliburton has scored over 12.5 points in 55% of 128 career games.

o11.562%
o12.555%
o15.538%
o20.520%

Tyrese Haliburton — home vs away scoring

At home Tyrese Haliburton averages 19.5 points per game; on the road, 17.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.5
PPG at home
17.5
PPG on the road

Tyrese Haliburton — scoring by opponent

Tyrese Haliburton scores most against the PHI, averaging 20.9 points per game in that matchup.

20.9
PHI
19.7
BKN
19.7
WSH
19.3
MIL
19.1
BOS
19.1
NY

Tyrese Haliburton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 17.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 9.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE363168
11 Mayvs CLE261155
9 Mayvs CLE30405
6 May@ CLE361994
4 May@ CLE3622313
29 Aprvs MIL422659
27 Apr@ MIL3417815
25 Apr@ MIL3214710
22 Aprvs MIL3521512
19 Aprvs MIL3410712
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyrese Haliburton is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 22 June at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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