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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Williams is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 56%, edge +12.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:32PM UTC
NBA

Brandon Williams

Dallas Mavericks

+12.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+12.2% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 6 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
13.1 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.7% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap +12.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs68.7%—56.5%1.45+12.2%

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AI Analysis

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Brandon Williams (Dallas Mavericks) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Brandon Williams and his Dallas Mavericks gear up to hit the road against the Orlando Magic this Friday, I'm eyeing an intriguing prop bet on the table. The Mavericks' guard is showing an under 16.5 for points plus rebounds, which is an interesting position considering his track record.Williams has been carrying a somewhat lackluster average of 13.4 points combined with a meager 1.6 rebounds in his last five overall games. The away court, while often a stumbling block, hasn't boosted his performance enough to worry about, with averages of 17.4 points and 2.2 rebounds in his last five on the road. But here's the kicker - against the Magic, his numbers have dipped even further, averaging only 8 points and 2 rebounds. Even on the Magic's home court, he hasn't surpassed 14 points and 3 rebounds. So, while a good night from Williams is always possible, the stats suggest he might

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Pick History & Track Record

Brandon Williams — 2024-25 season averages

Over 35 games in the 2024-25 season, Brandon Williams averaged 8.8 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 15.1 minutes per game, shooting 52.4% from the field and 40.6% from three-point range.

8.8
PPG
1.7
RPG
2.5
APG
0.7
SPG
0.1
BPG
15.1
MPG
52.4%
FG%
40.6%
3P%

Brandon Williams — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Brandon Williams has played 17.0 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

17.0
MPG (L5)
12.4
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Brandon Williams — home vs away scoring

At home Brandon Williams averages 7.2 points per game; on the road, 10.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.2
PPG at home
10.5
PPG on the road

Brandon Williams — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Brandon Williams has averaged 13.1 points, 2.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Apr@ MEM221637
16 Apr@ SAC181705
13 Apr@ MEM7040
11 Aprvs TOR221713
29 Mar@ CHI161213
27 Mar@ ORL271436
25 Mar@ NY282213
24 Mar@ BKN191554
21 Marvs DET18735
16 Marvs PHI321122
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks Assists 1.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks Steals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brandon Williams (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Williams is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.2% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic on Friday 6 March at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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