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Model picks & player props
Utah Jazz
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:11PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
15
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 (Point Spread)
For Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA), model win probability 87.9%, fair odds 1.14, book price -112, model edge +35.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Memphis Grizzlies
7.5
+ 14 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Utah Jazz

  • Trey Alexander GDay-to-day
  • Ace Bailey GDay-to-day
  • Darryn Peterson GDay-to-day
  • Cody Williams FDay-to-day
  • Jusuf Nurkic CDay-to-day
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Isaiah Collier GDay-to-day
  • Keyonte George GDay-to-day
  • Kyle Filipowski FDay-to-day

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • GG Jackson FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
  • Cam Spencer GDay-to-day
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Ty Jerome GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 20, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsUtah Jazz @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Utah Jazz combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Utah Jazz; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Utah Jazz; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Utah Jazz; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Utah Jazz totalNo line posted

Utah Jazz averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz : Utah Jazz Under 128.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Utah Jazz Under 128.5' for the Team Total Points market is backed by the recent performance of the Utah Jazz. Their overall score in the last five games is 115.2, well below the 128.5 threshold. This trend continues when looking specifically at their away games, where they score an average of 116.4 points. Additionally, their overall record in the last five games, both home and away, is a lackluster 1-4. The model prediction of 114.56 also supports the likelihood of the total points falling under 128.5. Therefore, considering the Jazz's recent scoring trends and their poor winning record, this bet is a statistically sound choice.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz : Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Memphis Grizzlies have a strong home record of 4-1 in their last five games, outperforming the Utah Jazz's 1-4 away record. They've also scored higher at home (124.6) than the Jazz have away (116.4). Moreover, the Grizzlies have a better defensive record at home, allowing a lower average score (113.2) compared to the Jazz's away defensive record (119.8). While the overall records and head-to-head are evenly matched, the Grizzlies' superior home performance and the Jazz's struggle on the road tip the scales in favor of Memphis. Therefore, betting on 'Memphis Grizzlies -2.5' in the Point Spread market is a statistically sound choice.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz : Memphis Grizzlies win (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting favor for the Memphis Grizzlies is rooted in the team's recent performance and scoring data. The Grizzlies have a stronger home record (4-1) compared to the Jazz's away track (1-4), suggesting a home advantage. Also, the Grizzlies' scoring has been impressive, averaging 124.6 points in the last five home games, more than the Jazz's away average of 116.4 points. The two teams have an equal past record against each other, but the Grizzlies' recent home success and superior scoring power make them the preferable choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. The model has generated 15 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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