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Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks

+21.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 14.5 +120 (2.20)
+21.1% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
45.5%
Model Edge
+21.1%
Predicted Value
17.0 Points

AI Analysis

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Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) Over 14.5 Points (+120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In tonight's showdown between the Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks, Naji Marshall stands out as a prime candidate to exceed the 14.5 points mark. While his average over the last five games is 13.8, he's found his groove on the road, notching an impressive 20.8 points per game away from home. Marshall has also had a solid recent history against the Mavericks, posting an average of 19.8 points in their last few encounters. With a hit rate of 4 out of 5 on the road recently, he's clearly stepping up when it matters most. The Mavericks' defense has shown vulnerability, and with Marshall's ability to get to the rim and knock down shots from beyond the arc, he's poised for a breakout performance. Given his expected stat value of nearly 17, betting the over on Marshall looks like a savvy move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Points 14.5 Over +120 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -102 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans Rebs + Asts Pending
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Assists Pending
13 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Dallas Mavericks Assists Pending

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About This Player

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for Naji Marshall is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.1% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.