Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Naji Marshall is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 43%, edge +26.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 2, 12:36AM UTC
NBA

Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks

+26.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 14.5 +134 (2.34) · $100→$234
+26.8% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
17.5 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.5% · the book's price implies 42.7% · gap +26.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points69.5%42.7%1.44+26.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) Over 14.5 Points (+134)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Dallas Mavericks head into Phoenix, all eyes should be on Naji Marshall, especially when it comes to his scoring. With an average of 20.6 points in his last five outings on the road, he's clearly found his rhythm away from home, and against the Suns, he's historically shown he can rise to the occasion, averaging nearly 19.8 points in recent matchups. What's particularly intriguing is his current form-he's hit the over in four straight games, and with a solid overall hit rate of 70% in his last ten, confidence is building. The Suns' defense can be susceptible to savvy scorers, and with the implied probability sitting at 42.7%, there's good value in betting on Marshall to exceed that 14.5 mark. If he continues this upward trajectory, expect him to play a pivotal role in this high-stakes showdown.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Naji Marshall — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Naji Marshall averaged 13.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.0 assists in 27.9 minutes per game, shooting 51.2% from the field and 27.9% from three-point range.

13.2
PPG
4.7
RPG
3.0
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
27.9
MPG
51.2%
FG%
27.9%
3P%

Naji Marshall — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Naji Marshall has played 31.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.0
MPG (L5)
12.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Naji Marshall — home vs away scoring

At home Naji Marshall averages 12.3 points per game; on the road, 14.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.3
PPG at home
14.1
PPG on the road

Naji Marshall — scoring by opponent

Naji Marshall scores most against the HOU, averaging 10.4 points per game in that matchup.

10.4
HOU
9.1
MEM
9.1
OKC
8.4
PHI
8.4
PHX
8.3
SA

Naji Marshall — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Naji Marshall has averaged 12.2 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Apr@ MEM341345
16 Apr@ SAC29943
13 Apr@ MEM281132
11 Aprvs TOR28725
9 Aprvs LAL362348
5 Apr@ LAC33921
4 Apr@ LAC362244
2 Aprvs ATL35628
31 Marvs BKN27883
29 Mar@ CHI271472
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Naji Marshall is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.8% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.