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Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks

Value call

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) has one live pick today: under 15.5 points that pays $270 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
13.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.1% · before adjusting for past results 69.6% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap +15.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Sat 24 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Naji Marshall
under 15.5 points
Points Under 15.5 +170 (2.70) · $100→$270
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$27.00 Odds+170
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Naji Marshall is Under 15.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 37%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 1:15PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points69.6%52.1%37.0%1.92+32.5%

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs: Naji Marshall Under 15.5 Points (+170)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Naji Marshall has been a bit quiet lately, and the matchup against the Dallas Mavericks might not help him break out. The Mavericks allow a fair number of three-point attempts and rebounds, but they also have a solid defense that can make scoring tough. Since they are at home, they will be looking to tighten things up even more. Betting on Marshall to score under 15.5 points feels like a smart choice. Both teams have been known to struggle with turnovers, but the Mavs' defense can be tough on players trying to get their shots off. The biggest risk here is how close both teams can keep the game, which might lead to fewer scoring chances for him.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Naji Marshall — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Naji Marshall averaged 13.2 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.0 assists in 27.9 minutes per game, shooting 51.2% from the field and 27.9% from three-point range.

13.2
PPG
4.7
RPG
3.0
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
27.9
MPG
51.2%
FG%
27.9%
3P%

Naji Marshall — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Naji Marshall has played 31.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.0
MPG (L5)
12.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Naji Marshall — home vs away scoring

At home Naji Marshall averages 12.3 points per game; on the road, 14.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.3
PPG at home
14.1
PPG on the road

Naji Marshall — scoring by opponent

Naji Marshall scores most against the HOU, averaging 10.4 points per game in that matchup.

10.4
HOU
9.1
MEM
9.1
OKC
8.4
PHI
8.4
PHX
8.3
SA

Naji Marshall — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Naji Marshall has averaged 12.2 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Apr@ MEM341345
16 Apr@ SAC29943
13 Apr@ MEM281132
11 Aprvs TOR28725
9 Aprvs LAL362348
5 Apr@ LAC33921
4 Apr@ LAC362244
2 Aprvs ATL35628
31 Marvs BKN27883
29 Mar@ CHI271472
Quick answers:How many assists does Naji Marshall average?How many points does Naji Marshall average?How many rebounds does Naji Marshall average?How many three-pointers does Naji Marshall average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Points 15.5 Under +170 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs + Asts 26.5 Under +130 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 22.5 Under +110 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Asts — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Naji Marshall (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Naji Marshall is Under 15.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +32.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks on Saturday 24 October at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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