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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyus Jones is Over 6.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NBA

Tyus Jones

Phoenix Suns

+11.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 6.5 -133 (1.75)
+11.9% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Sat 28 Feb, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
69.1%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+11.9%
Predicted Value
9.4 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points69.1%—57.1%1.45+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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Tyus Jones (Phoenix Suns) Over 6.5 Points (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ladies and gentlemen, let's talk Tyus Jones. This Memphis Grizzlies point guard has been bringing the heat lately, averaging 9 points over his last five games. But when he's up against the Mavericks on their home court? That average jumps up to a smooth 10.4. Whether it's the Dallas skyline or that Texan charm, something fires Jones up when he's in Mavericks territory.But it's not just about the location. Jones seems to have the Mavericks' number, with an average of 8.8 points against them in his last five matchups. And let's not forget that Dallas has allowed an average of 11.2 points to opposing point guards in their home games.With a hit rate of 7 in his last 11 overall games, and 4 in his last 5 away games, Jones is hitting his stride. So, putting your chips on Jones scoring over 6.5 points this Saturday? Sounds like a smart bet to me

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
8.9avg · last 10
L58.0Szn10.2Home11.4Away9.0Best28
5+84%
10+49%
15+30%
20+5%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 8.9 · hi 17 · lo 2
88516125210617

Tyus Jones is averaging 8.9 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.2, best 28). He clears 10+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks Points 6.5 Over -133 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Tyus Jones (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyus Jones is Over 6.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks on Saturday 28 February at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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