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NBA

Grayson Allen

Phoenix Suns

+4.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 6.5 -152 (1.66)
+4.8% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston
Mon 16 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
65.1%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+4.8%
Predicted Value
5.2 Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Under 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Suns roll into Boston, all eyes will be on Grayson Allen, but betting on him to hit the over on 6.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a risky venture. Recent trends tell a clear story. In his last five games, Allen has averaged just 3.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists, comfortably sitting under the mark we're targeting. His away performances drop even further, with averages of 2.4 rebounds and 3 assists, not to mention a dismal 0.5 assists per game against the Celtics in their last five matchups. With the Celtics' strong perimeter defense, Allen's opportunities could dwindle, making it tough for him to find his rhythm. The numbers back this narrative - he's hit the under in 9 of his last 12 games and 16 of his last 20 on the road. In a challenging matchup like this, betting the under seems like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 78.6% (11/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts Pending
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts Pending
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts Pending

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