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Grayson Allen

Phoenix Suns

+16.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 16.5 -108 (1.93)
+16.3% Edge
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Wed 25 Mar, 3:00AM
Model Probability
68.1%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+16.3%
Predicted Value
19.8 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Grayson Allen is primed for a breakout performance against the Denver Nuggets, especially with the game being at home in Phoenix. He's been lighting it up lately, averaging over 20 points per game on his home floor, which is a stark contrast to his overall average of 14.6. The Nuggets have struggled defensively, allowing players like Allen to exploit matchups, and his history against them shows he can put up solid numbers, averaging nearly 16 points in their last five meetings. What's particularly promising is his rebounding game at home, where he's snatched up about five boards against Denver. With a hit rate of 16 out of his last 19 games and an impressive 11 out of 12 at home, it's clear Allen thrives in this setting. Expect him to easily surpass the 16.5 mark in points and rebounds combined, making this a value pick worth jumping on.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors Assists 3.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
21 Feb 26 Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 16.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns on Wednesday 25 March at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.