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The latest Bet Better model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 49%, for a model edge of +24.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:56AM UTC
NBA

Grayson Allen

Phoenix Suns

+24.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 +104 (2.04) · $100→$204
+24.8% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.8%
Implied Probability
49.0%
Model Edge
+24.8%
Predicted Value
13.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points73.8%—49.0%1.36+24.8%

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AI Analysis

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Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Points (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In Sunday's showdown between the Phoenix Suns and the Oklahoma City Thunder, targeting Grayson Allen to surpass 9.5 points feels like a savvy play. Allen has been quietly effective, averaging 10 points on the road in his last five games, and he's upped that to a solid 14 points in his previous matchups against the Thunder. With a remarkable hit rate of 14 out of his last 16 away games, he's clearly found his groove outside of home turf. The Suns will look to lean on their perimeter shooting, which plays right into Allen's hands as he gets open looks. Plus, with an expected stat value hovering around 13.19, it's looking like he'll not only meet but likely exceed that 9.5 mark. So, if you're looking for a player prop with a strong narrative and solid backing, Grayson Allen's Over is definitely worthy of your attention.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.1avg · last 10
L52.8Szn2.1Home1.6Away2.7Best14
2+55%
4+19%
6+8%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.1 · hi 6 · lo 0
1023111165

Grayson Allen is averaging 2.1 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 14). He clears 2+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
10.9avg · last 10
L513.2Szn10.6Home10.3Away10.9Best40
1+97%
6+81%
11+47%
16+20%
21+8%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 10.9 · hi 23 · lo 2
237238151241520

Grayson Allen is averaging 10.9 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.6, best 40). He clears 11+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
13.0avg · last 10
L516.0Szn12.8Home11.9Away13.6Best44
3+97%
8+80%
13+44%
18+28%
23+9%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 13 · hi 26 · lo 3
339269161352125

Grayson Allen is averaging 13.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.8, best 44). He clears 13+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.6avg · last 10
L517.0Szn13.7Home13.4Away13.9Best47
4+95%
9+78%
14+45%
19+22%
24+9%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13.6 · hi 27 · lo 3
357279211382122

Grayson Allen is averaging 13.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.7, best 47). He clears 14+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.7avg · last 10
L519.8Szn15.8Home14.9Away16.6Best51
6+91%
11+75%
16+41%
21+28%
26+13%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 15.7 · hi 30 · lo 4
4593010221492727

Grayson Allen is averaging 15.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.8, best 51). He clears 16+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.8avg · last 10
L56.6Szn5.2Home4.6Away5.7Best17
2+95%
5+59%
8+14%
11+6%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.8 · hi 12 · lo 2
22272725127

Grayson Allen is averaging 4.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.2, best 17). He clears 5+ in 59% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points 9.5 Over +104 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.8% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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