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Grayson Allen

Phoenix Suns

Value call

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) has one live pick today: over 9.5 points that pays $204 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
13.2 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.8% · the book's price implies 49.0% · gap +24.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:30 PM ET
Grayson Allen
over 9.5 points
Points Over 9.5 +104 (2.04) · $100→$204
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.40 Odds+104
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:48AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points73.8%—49.0%1.36+24.8%

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AI Analysis

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Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Points (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In Sunday's showdown between the Phoenix Suns and the Oklahoma City Thunder, targeting Grayson Allen to surpass 9.5 points feels like a savvy play. Allen has been quietly effective, averaging 10 points on the road in his last five games, and he's upped that to a solid 14 points in his previous matchups against the Thunder. With a remarkable hit rate of 14 out of his last 16 away games, he's clearly found his groove outside of home turf. The Suns will look to lean on their perimeter shooting, which plays right into Allen's hands as he gets open looks. Plus, with an expected stat value hovering around 13.19, it's looking like he'll not only meet but likely exceed that 9.5 mark. So, if you're looking for a player prop with a strong narrative and solid backing, Grayson Allen's Over is definitely worthy of your attention.

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Pick History & Track Record

Grayson Allen — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Grayson Allen averaged 10.6 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 24.1 minutes per game, shooting 44.8% from the field and 42.6% from three-point range.

10.6
PPG
3.0
RPG
2.1
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
24.1
MPG
44.8%
FG%
42.6%
3P%

Grayson Allen — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Grayson Allen has played 24.0 minutes per game and started 60% of them.

24.0
MPG (L5)
13.2
PPG (L5)
60%
Started

Grayson Allen — points hit rate

Grayson Allen has scored over 11.5 points in 31% of 210 career games.

o11.531%
o12.526%
o15.514%

Grayson Allen — home vs away scoring

At home Grayson Allen averages 10.3 points per game; on the road, 10.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.3
PPG at home
10.9
PPG on the road

Grayson Allen — scoring by opponent

Grayson Allen scores most against the TOR, averaging 14.7 points per game in that matchup.

14.7
TOR
13.6
PHI
13.4
SAC
13.3
CHA
12.8
DAL
12.3
WSH

Grayson Allen — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Grayson Allen has averaged 10.9 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ SAC282025
11 Aprvs SA291566
9 Aprvs OKC23441
8 Aprvs GS181211
6 Apr@ NY221561
4 Apr@ BOS17811
1 Apr@ MIL342343
30 Marvs HOU18702
28 Mar@ MIN12320
26 Marvs BOS14211
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -104 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ Boston Celtics Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.8% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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