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The latest Bet Better model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 11.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 55%, edge +21.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:21PM UTC
NBA

Grayson Allen

Phoenix Suns

+21.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 11.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+21.8% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
16.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.4% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +21.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs76.4%—54.6%1.31+21.8%

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AI Analysis

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Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) Over 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Suns gear up to face the Thunder, Grayson Allen's recent performance suggests he's primed to exceed that 11.5 points plus rebounds mark. Allen has been on a tear, hitting the Over in 19 of his last 20 games, showcasing a remarkable consistency that's hard to ignore. Even when he's on the road, he's been a force, averaging 14 points against the Suns in their recent matchups, a notable bump from his typical away numbers. The Thunder's defense can be susceptible to sharpshooters, and with Allen's ability to penetrate and rebound-averaging around 4 boards against them-he's well-positioned to put up a combined total that surpasses the line. With an expected stat value of 16.48, he seems to be a solid bet to help you cash in this Sunday. Don't overlook this opportunity; Allen's set to shine in a pivotal matchup!

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Pick History & Track Record

Grayson Allen — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Grayson Allen averaged 10.6 points, 3.0 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 24.1 minutes per game, shooting 44.8% from the field and 42.6% from three-point range.

10.6
PPG
3.0
RPG
2.1
APG
0.8
SPG
0.3
BPG
24.1
MPG
44.8%
FG%
42.6%
3P%

Grayson Allen — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Grayson Allen has played 24.0 minutes per game and started 60% of them.

24.0
MPG (L5)
13.2
PPG (L5)
60%
Started

Grayson Allen — points hit rate

Grayson Allen has scored over 11.5 points in 31% of 210 career games.

o11.531%
o12.526%
o15.514%

Grayson Allen — home vs away scoring

At home Grayson Allen averages 10.3 points per game; on the road, 10.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.3
PPG at home
10.9
PPG on the road

Grayson Allen — scoring by opponent

Grayson Allen scores most against the TOR, averaging 14.7 points per game in that matchup.

14.7
TOR
13.6
PHI
13.4
SAC
13.3
CHA
12.8
DAL
12.3
WSH

Grayson Allen — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Grayson Allen has averaged 10.9 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ SAC282025
11 Aprvs SA291566
9 Aprvs OKC23441
8 Aprvs GS181211
6 Apr@ NY221561
4 Apr@ BOS17811
1 Apr@ MIL342343
30 Marvs HOU18702
28 Mar@ MIN12320
26 Marvs BOS14211
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grayson Allen is Over 11.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.8% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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