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Model picks & player props
Miami Marlins
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 6:39PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 11:15PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 Spread +1080

The model graded 2 markets for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $1,180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Jun 2026, 11:15PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win80.8%
The price says8.5%
Best price+1080
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 High81% chance +1080
Total Runs High72% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals
+3.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Marlins

  • Pete Fairbanks RPOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Phillips SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 11:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami MarlinsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.8Home L54-1vs Miami Marlins L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Miami Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–13BALHome
L4–6PHIAway
L3–12PHIAway
L6–7PHIAway
W10–9CINAway
Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7BOSHome
L2–4BOSHome
W6–2WSHHome
W4–2WSHHome
W3–2WSHHome

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.2 runs per game (3-2) while Miami Marlins are at 3.6 (4-1); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Miami Marlins.

4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
3.6
Miami Marlins runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsMiami Marlins
Runs / game4.23.6
Hits / game4.83.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.02.8
Batter K / game1.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.01.2
Pitching K / game1.83.0
Walks allowed / game2.21.4
L5 record3-24-1

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 4, Miami Marlins won 4.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsMiami MarlinsWinner
Jun 2821St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 2704Miami Marlins
Jun 2715Miami Marlins
Apr 2214Miami Marlins
Apr 2153St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 2035Miami Marlins
Mar 2174St. Louis Cardinals
Mar 1477Draw
Mar 822Draw
Mar 232St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Pete Fairbanks RPOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet on Ivan Herrera's stolen bases is a solid choice considering his recent and overall performance data. In his last five games overall, at home, and against this particular opponent, Herrera has not recorded any stolen bases. Even his caught stealing (Cs) averages are zero, indicating he's not attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks both at home and overall, Herrera's base stealing rate remains consistently low. It's also important to note that a successful hit doesn't necessarily translate into a stolen base. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Herrera's stolen bases to stay under 0.5 in the upcoming game against the Miami Marlins.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Marlins vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Marlins. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 June 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Miami Marlins 4–3 across the last 8 meetings · 1 draw
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals2–1St. Louis Cardinals
27 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals0–4Miami Marlins
27 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals1–5Miami Marlins
22 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins4–1Miami Marlins
21 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins3–5St. Louis Cardinals
20 Apr 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins5–3Miami Marlins
21 Mar 2026Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals7–4St. Louis Cardinals
14 Mar 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins7–7Draw
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