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Model picks & player props
Miami Marlins
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 6, 2:06PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Sat 27 Jun 2026, 11:15PM
2
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: St. Louis Cardinals 3.5 (Spread)
For Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB), model win probability 80.8%, fair odds 1.24, book price +1080, model edge +72.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 27 Jun 2026, 11:15PM at Busch Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals
+3.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Miami Marlins

  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut

Probable pitcher

Eury Perez SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Jordan Walker RFDay-to-day
  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andre Pallante SP
Availability updated Aug 5, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Miami Marlins L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Miami Marlins L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami MarlinsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Miami Marlins L53-2

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.2 runs/gm.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.2 runs per game (3-2) while Miami Marlins are at 3.6 (4-1); St. Louis Cardinals pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Miami Marlins.

4.2
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
3.6
Miami Marlins runs/G
Last 5 gamesSt. Louis CardinalsMiami Marlins
Runs / game4.23.6
Hits / game4.83.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.02.8
Batter K / game1.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.01.2
Pitching K / game1.83.0
Walks allowed / game2.21.4
L5 record3-24-1

Miami Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

<p>Latest MLB betting preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.</p>

Ivan Herrera (STL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet on Ivan Herrera's stolen bases is a solid choice considering his recent and overall performance data. In his last five games overall, at home, and against this particular opponent, Herrera has not recorded any stolen bases. Even his caught stealing (Cs) averages are zero, indicating he's not attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks both at home and overall, Herrera's base stealing rate remains consistently low. It's also important to note that a successful hit doesn't necessarily translate into a stolen base. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Herrera's stolen bases to stay under 0.5 in the upcoming game against the Miami Marlins.

Cal Quantrill (MIA) Over 1.5 Strikeouts (-294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Cal Quantrill for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a strong choice based on his recent performance. Quantrill's last five games show an overall strikeout average of 1.6, and an even stronger away game strikeout average of 3. This indicates his ability to perform well in away games, as is the case in the upcoming match against the St. Louis Cardinals. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) averages are consistent across both overall and away games, at 4 and 4.3 respectively, providing him ample opportunities to achieve more than 1.5 strikeouts. Although his current hit streak is zero, his recent performance data suggests a high probability of Quantrill exceeding the line of 1.5 strikeouts.

Dane Myers (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Dane Myers for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is driven by his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, both overall and in away games. This low average suggests that Myers is not frequently successful in stealing bases. Furthermore, his current away hit streak is zero, indicating that his performance in away games is not strong enough to support a high likelihood of stolen bases. Additionally, his statistics against the St. Louis Cardinals, the opposing team, reveal no stolen bases in the last five games, further supporting the under bet. Therefore, based on Myers' recent and location-specific performance, the Under 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Marlins vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Marlins. The most recent game between them was Saturday 27 June 2026 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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