Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
Kansas City Royals
VS
St. Louis Cardinals

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 4, 8:41PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Outdoor
Thu 5 Jun 2025, 5:45PM
19
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6.5 Total Runs -250

The model graded 19 markets for Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $140 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 5 Jun 2025, 5:45PM at Busch Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win90.8%
The price says71.4%
Best price-250
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 6.5 High91% chance -250
Total Runs High93% chance
Total Runs High95% chance
Total Runs Lean41% chance
Team Total High99% chance
Total Runs Long-shot35% chance
Total Runs High96% chance
Total Runs High97% chance
Total Runs Long-shot29% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 70 of 101 right (mlb batter hits overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Alika Williams Over 0.5
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $196
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
6.5
+ 18 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 19 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,565+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Royals

  • Beck Way RPOut
  • Carlos Estevez RPOut
  • Tony Gonsolin SPOut
  • Nick Mears RPOut
  • Maikel Garcia 3BOut
  • James McArthur RPOut
  • Luinder Avila SPOut
  • Stephen Kolek SPOut
  • Connor Seabold RPOut
  • Cole Ragans SPOut
  • Jonathan India 2BOut
  • Alec Marsh SPOut

Probable pitcher

Daniel Lynch IV SP

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • JJ Wetherholt 2BOut
  • Blaze Jordan 3BOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Peter Strzelecki RPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Leahy SP
Availability updated Sep 5, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSt. Louis CardinalsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Kansas City Royals L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Kansas City Royals L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals spread form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City RoyalsNo line posted

St. Louis Cardinals total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSt. Louis Cardinals team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Kansas City Royals L54-1

St. Louis Cardinals team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals — what the model found

Our model graded 19 betting markets for Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals — 19 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

19
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 19 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 18 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent results

St. Louis Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Royals have won 2 of their last 5.

St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6LADAway
W13–8LADAway
L4–5PITHome
W4–1PITHome
L2–6PITHome
Kansas City Royals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–3MIAHome
L6–9MIAHome
L3–6MIAHome
L1–11CLEAway
W8–3CLEAway

Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: St. Louis Cardinals won 3, Kansas City Royals won 3.

DateSt. Louis CardinalsKansas City RoyalsWinner
Jun 211210St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 2056Kansas City Royals
Jun 18614Kansas City Royals
May 1702Kansas City Royals
May 1654St. Louis Cardinals
May 1642St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
JJ Wetherholt 2BOUT
Blaze Jordan 3BOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Peter Strzelecki RPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT
Kansas City Royals
PlayerStatus
Beck Way RPOUT
Carlos Estevez RPOUT
Tony Gonsolin SPOUT
Nick Mears RPOUT
Maikel Garcia 3BOUT
James McArthur RPOUT
Luinder Avila SPOUT
Stephen Kolek SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Bobby Witt Jr.. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals stats and odds.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals : Over 3.5 alternate_team_totals (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'St. Louis Cardinals Over 3.5' for the Team Total Runs market is backed by several compelling statistics. The Cardinals have a strong home record against the Royals, winning 4 of their last 5 matchups. This suggests they have been able to consistently outperform the Royals. Furthermore, the Cardinals' average runs scored at home in the last 5 games is 3.6, which is just above the Line of 3.5. The Royals' defense has been struggling on the road, allowing an average of 4.6 runs in their last 5 away games. Additionally, the Cardinals' average batting hits at home are significantly higher at 8.4, which indicates a higher scoring potential. These factors combined make it statistically probable for the Cardinals to score over 3.5 runs.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Royals vs St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Royals vs Cardinals, or as Cardinals vs Royals. The most recent game between them was Thursday 5 June 2025 at Busch Stadium. The model has generated 19 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 19 meetings on record
Kansas City Royals 11–8 across the last 19 meetings · these games average 10.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals10–12St. Louis Cardinals
20 Jun 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals6–5Kansas City Royals
19 Jun 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals6–5Kansas City Royals
18 Jun 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals14–6Kansas City Royals
17 May 2026Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals0–2Kansas City Royals
16 May 2026Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals4–2St. Louis Cardinals
15 May 2026Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals5–4St. Louis Cardinals
5 Jun 2025Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals5–7Kansas City Royals
3 Jun 2025Kansas City Royals @ St. Louis Cardinals7–10Kansas City Royals
18 May 2025St. Louis Cardinals @ Kansas City Royals2–1Kansas City Royals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 19 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.