Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Miles Mikolas is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:08PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 1.5
-227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+15.8% Edge
Washington Nationals
@
Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 10:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
69.4%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 85.2% | — | 69.4% | 1.17 | +15.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 4/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Miles Mikolas (STL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-227)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Philadelphia Phillies play Washington Nationals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Miles Mikolas (STL) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-227). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Miles Mikolas MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Miles Mikolas MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Miles Mikolas MLB outs: averaging 13.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Miles Mikolas (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miles Mikolas is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 6 August at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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