Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Miles Mikolas is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +21.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Miles Mikolas

STL

+21.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 3.5 -159 (1.63)
+21.1% Edge
Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Mon 6 Jul, 10:45PM
UNKNOWN
Major League Baseball announced that Mikolas will begin serving his five-game suspension Sunday, Mark Zuckerman of NatsJournal.com reports.
updated Jul 12, 1:34AM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+21.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts82.4%—61.3%1.21+21.1%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Miles Mikolas (STL) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Nationals host the Houston Astros, all eyes will be on Miles Mikolas, who faces a lineup that’s been remarkably disciplined lately. The Astros are notorious for making pitchers work hard, and their current form shows they’re not striking out as often as they used to. Over their last few games, they’ve showcased an impressive ability to put the ball in play, which doesn’t bode well for Mikolas and his strikeout numbers. Moreover, Mikolas himself has experienced a dip in his strikeout rate, sitting at just 2.11 strikeouts per game in recent outings. With the Astros’ batters becoming increasingly selective at the plate, it’s tough to envision him reaching the 4-strikeout mark. Given the dynamics of this matchup, taking the under on Mikolas’ strikeouts feels like the right play as he navigates through this formidable lineup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
L2080%
O 2.580%
O 3.550%
O 4.520%

Miles Mikolas MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2080%
O 3.570%
O 4.560%
O 5.550%

Miles Mikolas MLB hits allowed: cleared over 3.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak5L2055%

Miles Mikolas MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
3.6avg earned runs · L5
L2060%

Miles Mikolas MLB earned runs: cleared over 2.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 3.6 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
13.6avg outs · L5
L2050%

Miles Mikolas MLB outs: averaging 13.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Miles Mikolas (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miles Mikolas is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals on Monday 6 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks