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Model picks & player props
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Seattle Mariners

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 17, 10:15PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Indoor
Thu 18 Jun 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
19
Props graded
56.7%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Seattle Mariners (Moneyline)
The model graded 39 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $970 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 56.7% across 30 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 50.7%, fair odds 1.97, book price +870, model edge +40.4%. Tip-off Thu 18 Jun 2026, 8:10PM at T-Mobile Park.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Seattle Mariners · $100 returned $970

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 736 of 1,481 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Under 5.5
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $354
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Seattle MarinersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Baltimore OriolesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Zach Eflin SPOut

Probable pitcher

Brandon Young SP

Seattle Mariners

  • Bryan Woo SPDay-to-day
  • Victor Robles RFDay-to-day
  • Taylor Ward LFDay-to-day
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • J.P. Crawford SSOut
  • Carlos Vargas RPOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut
Availability updated Aug 17, 10:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Samuel Basallo Batter - Hits
Blaze Alexander BAL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Leody Taveras Batter - Total Bases
Blaze Alexander BAL Batter - Hits
Pete Alonso NYM Batter - Hits

+ 19 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineSeattle Mariners run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L54-1

Seattle Mariners spread form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Seattle Mariners total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
1.8runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners — what the model found

Our model graded 39 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Seattle Mariners — 20 on the game itself and 19 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
19
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 39 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 38 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners — recent results

Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5.

Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2HOUAway
L7–10HOUAway
W10–5HOUAway
W1–0NYYAway
L5–10NYYAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–2TBAway
W4–3TBAway
W6–5TBAway
L5–7MINAway
W5–2MINAway

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Seattle Mariners are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Baltimore Orioles are at 3.0 (2-3); Seattle Mariners pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 3.0 for Baltimore Orioles.

3.2
Seattle Mariners runs/G
3.0
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesSeattle MarinersBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game3.23.0
Hits / game4.45.4
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game0.81.8
Batter K / game3.83.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.03.0
Pitching K / game3.84.8
Walks allowed / game0.41.8
L5 record2-32-3

Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Seattle Mariners won 4, Baltimore Orioles won 3.

DateSeattle MarinersBaltimore OriolesWinner
Jun 1830Seattle Mariners
Jun 1835Baltimore Orioles
Jun 1731Seattle Mariners
Jun 1157Baltimore Orioles
Jun 1027Baltimore Orioles
Jun 965Seattle Mariners
Jun 863Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Bryan Woo SPDAY-TO-DAY
Victor Robles RFDAY-TO-DAY
Taylor Ward LFDAY-TO-DAY
Matt Brash RPOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Cooper Criswell RPOUT
J.P. Crawford SSOUT
Carlos Vargas RPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners — model preview

Deep dive into Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Samuel Basallo. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles stats and odds.

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles : Baltimore Orioles +1 (-119)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
30
Total Picks
56.7%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jun 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +3 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 7 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +1.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +3.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles -1.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Moneyline Seattle Mariners ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles -2 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +1.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +2 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles -2.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +2.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles +1 ✗ MISS
18 Jun 26 Spread Baltimore Orioles -1 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Mariners, or as Mariners vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Thursday 18 June 2026 at T-Mobile Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 19 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 56.7% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 7 meetings
Seattle Mariners 4–3 across the last 7 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners3–5Baltimore Orioles
18 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners3–0Seattle Mariners
17 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners3–1Seattle Mariners
11 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles7–5Baltimore Orioles
10 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles7–2Baltimore Orioles
9 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles5–6Seattle Mariners
8 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles3–6Seattle Mariners
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