Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Blaze Alexander is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 42%, implied 36%, edge +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 9, 8:25AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits
Under 0.5
+181 (2.81) · $100→$281
+6.8% Edge
Cleveland Guardians
@
Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:35PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Alexander will start at second base and bat leadoff in Sunday's game against the Red Sox, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
updated Sep 9, 2:04AM UTC
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How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Hits
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 42.4% · the book's price implies 35.6% · gap +6.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits | 42.4% | — | 35.6% | 2.36 | +6.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Blaze Alexander (ARI) Under 0.5 Hits (+181)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Baltimore Orioles play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Blaze Alexander (ARI) Under 0.5 Hits (+181). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +181 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (22 picks)
54.5%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Blaze Alexander's lines for Wed 9 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Batter Hits 0.5
Blaze Alexander's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -238 across 2 books.
Batter Total Bases 1.5
Blaze Alexander's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +128 across 9 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveBatter - HitsUpcoming gameU 0.5 +181 Game log vs U 0.52 / 5 hit
Blaze Alexander MLB hits. Current line U 0.5 at +181.
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -179 Game log vs U 1.52 / 3 hit
Blaze Alexander MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -179.
Blaze Alexander (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.5% on tracked Blaze Alexander picks. The latest model pick for Blaze Alexander is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 9 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.