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The latest Bet Better model pick for Blaze Alexander is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 9:28AM UTC
MLB

Blaze Alexander

ARI

Blaze Alexander has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 10:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Orioles manager Craig Albernaz indicated Friday that Alexander (back) will not be activated from the 10-day injured list before the end of the season, Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com reports.
updated Sep 25, 7:34PM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
0.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.2% · before adjusting for past results 61.0% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap -8.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases61.0%55.2%64.1%1.70-3.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians: Blaze Alexander Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For Blaze Alexander to get less than 1.5 total bases tonight, he just needs to have a quiet game. The Baltimore Orioles have been solid against left-handed starters this year, and the Cleveland Guardians struggle with them, showing a lot of weakness. Alexander has only averaged about 0.8 runs and 1 strikeout at Oriole Park, so he hasn't been able to pile up the bases. The Guardians have also been scoring fewer runs lately, dropping about 0.8 runs per game. With Alexander facing an Orioles team that knows how to handle lefties, it's tough to see him getting more than a single base tonight. The risk is that he could surprise everyone, but given the numbers, this pick looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (22 picks) 54.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many home runs does Blaze Alexander hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -370 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Doubles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Blaze Alexander (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.5% on tracked Blaze Alexander picks. The latest model pick for Blaze Alexander is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 9 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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