SYSTEM STATUS: Online TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.2% over 30 days WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +100) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 4 @ +290) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 6.5 @ +270) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +714.6 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +646.2 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +122) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5 @ +150) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +111) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +125) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +628.2 units this season WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7 @ +200) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Spread hitting 79.3% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +406.0 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +676.4 units this season WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants (Toronto Blue Jays 6 @ +290) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 3.5 @ +340) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.2% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +100) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 4 @ +290) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 6.5 @ +270) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +714.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +646.2 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +122) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5 @ +150) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +111) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +125) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +628.2 units this season RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7 @ +200) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Spread hitting 79.3% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +406.0 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +676.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants (Toronto Blue Jays 6 @ +290) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 3.5 @ +340)
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MLB

Samuel Basallo

MLB

+17.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -159 (1.63)
+17.0% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Wed 8 Jul, 10:35PM
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Model Probability
78.3%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Samuel Basallo (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Chicago Cubs, all eyes are on Samuel Basallo. While the young sensation has shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he may struggle to clear 1.5 total bases against the Cubs’ formidable pitching. Cubs’ starter has been exceptional lately, boasting a sub-3.00 ERA and limiting hitters to a meager .220 batting average. The Orioles lineup has had a mixed bag against right-handed pitching, averaging just 4.2 runs per game recently. Basallo himself has seen his power numbers dip, recording fewer extra-base hits as he adjusts to major league pitching. With opposing pitchers zeroing in on his weaknesses, it’s reasonable to expect him to fall short in this contest. The odds favor the under here, making the 'Under 1.5' for Basallo an enticing play as he likely struggles to find his rhythm against a solid Cubs squad.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 100.0% (7/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 2.5 Under -370 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 2.5 Under -714 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases Pending
18 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Hits Pending
18 Jun 26 Baltimore Orioles @ Seattle Mariners Batter - Singles Pending

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About This Player

Samuel Basallo is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (7/7). The latest model pick for Samuel Basallo is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 8 July at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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