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The latest Bet Better model pick for Adrian Houser is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 55%, edge +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 4.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Under 4.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 7:54AM UTC
MLB

Adrian Houser

NYM

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -123 (1.81) · $100→$181
+1.1% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Wed 26 Aug, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Giants transferred Houser (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday, effectively ending his season, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
updated Sep 1, 9:56PM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
56 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 56.3% · the book's price implies 55.2% · gap +1.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed56.3%49.2%55.2%2.01+1.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Adrian Houser (NYM) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Adrian Houser (NYM) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-123). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Adrian Houser has gone over 1.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.530%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under +111 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
12 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Walks Pending
12 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending

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About This Player

Adrian Houser (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Adrian Houser is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants on Wednesday 26 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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