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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Houston Astros

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 17, 11:00AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Thu 16 Apr 2026, 12:10AM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Houston Astros (Moneyline)
The model graded 4 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $900 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 85.0%, fair odds 1.18, book price +800, model edge +73.9%. Tip-off Thu 16 Apr 2026, 12:10AM at Minute Maid Park.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 736 of 1,481 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Under 5.5
San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $354
Our call on this game: 3 picks on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Houston Astros
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Hunter Goodman CDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Tyler Freeman RFOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP

Houston Astros

  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Hunter Brown SP
Availability updated Aug 16, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L52-3Free board12-9

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L52-3Free board14-9

Houston Astros spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
1.7runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L52-3

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Houston Astros — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 4 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3SEAHome
W10–7SEAHome
L5–10SEAHome
L1–4SFAway
W2–1SFAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W13–7SFAway
W5–2SFAway
L1–7SFAway
W3–2ARIAway
W6–4ARIAway

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Houston Astros are scoring 2.8 runs per game (3-2) while Colorado Rockies are at 2.6 (2-3); Houston Astros pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Colorado Rockies.

2.8
Houston Astros runs/G
2.6
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesHouston AstrosColorado Rockies
Runs / game2.82.6
Hits / game2.84.4
Home runs / game0.21.0
Walks drawn / game1.41.2
Batter K / game2.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.02.2
Pitching K / game3.62.2
Walks allowed / game1.83.2
L5 record3-22-3

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Houston Astros won 2, Colorado Rockies won 4.

DateHouston AstrosColorado RockiesWinner
Apr 1723Colorado Rockies
Apr 1631Houston Astros
Apr 1576Houston Astros
Apr 819Colorado Rockies
Apr 815Colorado Rockies
Apr 779Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Hunter Goodman CDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Tyler Freeman RFOUT
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Astros, or as Astros vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Thursday 16 April 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 6 meetings
Colorado Rockies 4–2 across the last 6 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
17 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros2–3Colorado Rockies
16 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros3–1Houston Astros
15 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Houston Astros7–6Houston Astros
8 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies5–1Colorado Rockies
8 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies9–1Colorado Rockies
7 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Colorado Rockies9–7Colorado Rockies
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