Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Houston Astros

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 27, 4:34AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Thu 16 Apr 2026, 12:10AM
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Houston Astros (Moneyline)
For Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros (MLB), model win probability 85.0%, fair odds 1.18, book price +800, model edge +73.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 16 Apr 2026, 12:10AM at Minute Maid Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Houston Astros
+ 3 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP

Houston Astros

  • Hayden Wesneski SPOut
  • Spencer Arrighetti SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut

Probable pitcher

Ronel Blanco SP
Availability updated Jul 26, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Win rec7-8

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 3-2, 4.0 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L53-2ATS11-5

Houston Astros spread form: last five 3-2, 4.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
4.1implied team total
L5 RF4.0L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Houston Astros are scoring 2.8 runs per game (3-2) while Colorado Rockies are at 2.6 (2-3); Houston Astros pitchers are allowing 3.0 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Colorado Rockies.

2.8
Houston Astros runs/G
2.6
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesHouston AstrosColorado Rockies
Runs / game2.82.6
Hits / game2.84.4
Home runs / game0.21.0
Walks drawn / game1.41.2
Batter K / game2.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game3.02.2
Pitching K / game3.62.2
Walks allowed / game1.83.2
L5 record3-22-3

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Apr 26 Moneyline Colorado Rockies ✗ MISS
16 Apr 26 Total Runs Under 13.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Houston Astros in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 16 April 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks