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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Cleveland Guardians

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 6:01PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Wed 10 Jun 2026, 5:10PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Yankees 1.5 (Spread)
For New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB), model win probability 78.0%, fair odds 1.28, book price -217, model edge +9.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 10 Jun 2026, 5:10PM at Progressive Field.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Yankees
2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Max Fried SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Weathers SP

Cleveland Guardians

  • Angel Martinez LFOut
  • Jose Ramirez 3BOut
  • Tim Herrin RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tanner Bibee SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L54-1Win rec9-3

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L54-1ATS8-7

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
3.9implied team total
L5 RF4.4L5 RA3.4Home L51-4vs New York Yankees L54-1

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.4 runs/gm.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cleveland Guardians are scoring 2.8 runs per game (4-1) while New York Yankees are at 3.8 (3-2); Cleveland Guardians pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for New York Yankees.

2.8
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
3.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesCleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees
Runs / game2.83.8
Hits / game5.64.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.62.2
Batter K / game5.83.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.61.2
Pitching K / game3.25.4
Walks allowed / game2.61.0
L5 record4-13-2

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

<p>Latest MLB betting preview: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees stats and odds.</p>

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees Win (-101)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they bring a potent mix of power and precision that suggests they’re poised for victory. With a lineup that’s been clicking—averaging over five runs per game in their last ten outings—they’re proving difficult to contain. Meanwhile, the Guardians have struggled with consistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, posting a subpar OPS that could falter against New York’s formidable rotation. On the mound, the Yankees’ starter has been a force, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could stifle Cleveland's offense. The Guardians, while resilient, often find themselves outmatched in these high-pressure matchups. With New York’s current form and Cleveland’s batting woes, taking the Yankees on the moneyline looks like a savvy move. It’s not just about the numbers; it’s about momentum, and the Yankees are riding a wave that suggests a win is in the cards.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +1.5 (-217)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they’re riding a wave of momentum that’s hard to ignore. They’ve recently turned the corner, showcasing a lineup that’s been racking up runs with an average nearing five per game. With sluggers like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton leading the charge, the Guardians’ pitchers could find themselves under serious pressure. On the flip side, the Guardians have struggled against powerful offenses, and their starting rotation hasn’t been as sharp lately. They’ve allowed a troubling number of runs, making it an uphill battle when facing a lineup like New York's. When you combine the Yankees’ recent form with their knack for winning by margins, taking them on the alternate run line at -1.5 feels like a smart play. With Cleveland's recent inconsistencies, it’s hard to see them keeping this one close. Expect New York to assert their dominance on the road.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +2.5 (-357)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they bring with them a potent blend of power and precision that’s hard to ignore. Recently, New York has been lighting up the scoreboard, averaging over five runs per game in their last ten outings. Their lineup, anchored by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, is a nightmare for opposing pitchers, and today they face a Guardians team struggling with consistency on the mound. Cleveland's pitching staff has shown vulnerability, particularly against strong offenses, and they’ll need to contend with a Yankees squad that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes. With a solid run differential, the Yankees have demonstrated they can not only win but win decisively. Given their recent form and the Guardians’ pitching woes, taking New York to cover the alternate run line of 2.5 runs seems like a smart play. Expect the Yankees to flex their muscles and secure a comfortable victory today.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +2 (-312)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they bring a potent offense that’s been firing on all cylinders. Over the last few weeks, they’ve shown an impressive ability to put up runs, averaging over five per game. With Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton leading the charge, the Guardians’ pitching staff, which has had its fair share of struggles, could be in for a long night. Cleveland has also been inconsistent at the plate, struggling to produce against top-tier pitching. With the Yankees’ ace on the mound, who boasts a sparkling ERA and a history of dominating lineups, the Guardians might find themselves chasing early. When you factor in the Yankees’ strong away record and the Guardians' recent woes at home, backing New York to cover the run line seems like a savvy bet. This matchup has all the makings of a Yankees win by multiple runs, making the -2 line an enticing play.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +3.5 (-588)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they’re looking not just to win, but to assert their dominance. Over the past month, New York's offense has been absolutely electric, averaging over five runs per game while batting a remarkable .280. Meanwhile, their pitching staff, anchored by a revitalized Gerrit Cole, has been stifling opposing bats, with a collective ERA sitting comfortably under 3.50. The Guardians, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, particularly against right-handed pitchers, where they’ve managed a mere .230 average. With their lineup facing a pitcher of Cole's caliber, runs could be hard to come by. The Yankees have been a force on the road, consistently covering the run line, and with the Guardians’ recent woes, it’s hard to see this game being anything but a comfortable win for New York. Taking the Yankees at -3.5 feels like a smart play as they aim to showcase their power and precision.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees +3 (-526)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland on June 10, their recent form is hard to ignore. New York's offense has been a juggernaut, averaging over 5.5 runs per game in the last month, with their star-studded lineup racking up hits like clockwork. The Guardians, while scrappy, have struggled against lefties, and with the Yankees’ southpaw ace on the mound, expect them to face a daunting challenge. Defensively, the Yankees have tightened up, showcasing a top-tier bullpen that can shut down any late-game threats. Meanwhile, Cleveland's inconsistency has them sitting well below .500 at home, often faltering against stronger teams. Given the Yankees' momentum and the Guardians’ recent struggles, backing New York to cover the alternate run line seems like a savvy move. Look for the Bronx Bombers to flex their muscles and secure a decisive victory in this matchup.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
10 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees 2.5 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees 1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 10 June 2026 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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