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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Cleveland Guardians

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:22PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Wed 10 Jun 2026, 5:10PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Yankees -2 (Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $318 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 47.9%, fair odds 2.09, book price +218, model edge +16.4%. Tip-off Wed 10 Jun 2026, 5:10PM at Progressive Field.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
New York Yankees -2 · $100 returned $318

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
New York Yankees
-2
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut

Cleveland Guardians

  • Slade Cecconi SPOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut
Availability updated Aug 9, 4:29PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.4Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L55-0Free board12-10

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.4Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L55-0

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.4Home L55-0vs New York Yankees L55-0

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–5CHWAway
L3–6CHWAway
W8–2CHWAway
L6–13NYMHome
L5–6NYMHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cleveland Guardians are scoring 2.8 runs per game (4-1) while New York Yankees are at 3.8 (3-2); Cleveland Guardians pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for New York Yankees.

2.8
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
3.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesCleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees
Runs / game2.83.8
Hits / game5.64.6
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.62.2
Batter K / game5.83.6
Earned runs allowed / game1.61.2
Pitching K / game3.25.4
Walks allowed / game2.61.0
L5 record4-13-2

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 0, New York Yankees won 3.

DateCleveland GuardiansNew York YankeesWinner
Jun 1048New York Yankees
Jun 923New York Yankees
Jun 857New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Slade Cecconi SPOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees stats and odds.

Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees : New York Yankees Win (-101)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees roll into Cleveland, they bring a potent mix of power and precision that suggests they’re poised for victory. With a lineup that’s been clicking—averaging over five runs per game in their last ten outings—they’re proving difficult to contain. Meanwhile, the Guardians have struggled with consistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, posting a subpar OPS that could falter against New York’s formidable rotation. On the mound, the Yankees’ starter has been a force, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could stifle Cleveland's offense. The Guardians, while resilient, often find themselves outmatched in these high-pressure matchups. With New York’s current form and Cleveland’s batting woes, taking the Yankees on the moneyline looks like a savvy move. It’s not just about the numbers; it’s about momentum, and the Yankees are riding a wave that suggests a win is in the cards.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
10 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees -2 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 Spread New York Yankees +1 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 10 ✓ HIT
10 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 9 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 10 June 2026 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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