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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
Chicago Cubs

Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:13PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sat 17 May 2025, 6:20PM
20
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 5.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 25 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $215 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 72.2%, fair odds 1.38, book price +115, model edge +25.7%. Tip-off Sat 17 May 2025, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Under
7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Chase Meidroth 2BDay-to-day
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Chicago Cubs

  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Daniel Palencia RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut
Availability updated Aug 9, 8:52PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 25 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability25 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Matthew Boyd CHC Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter -Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.2Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L52-3Free board12-8

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.2Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L52-3Free board13-9

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.2Home L53-2vs Chicago White Sox L52-3

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 25 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs — 20 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 25 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 24 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–2KCAway
W6–4KCAway
L3–6KCAway
W3–2TORHome
W5–1LADHome
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3CLEHome
W6–3CLEHome
L2–8CLEHome
L11–12BOSAway
L0–4BOSAway

Who’s out or in doubt

25 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Matt Shaw RFOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Daniel Palencia RPOUT
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Chase Meidroth 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 May 2025 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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