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Model picks & player props
Washington Nationals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 3:23AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 8.5 Total Runs +104

The model graded 21 markets for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 5:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.7%
The price says49.0%
Best price+104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 8.5 High65% chance +104
Moneyline Lean53% chance
Total Runs Lean56% chance
Total Runs High69% chance
Spread Lean43% chance
Spread Long-shot34% chance
Spread High70% chance
Total Runs High80% chance
Total Runs High73% chance
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 90%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Washington Nationals -1.5 · $100 returned $355

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
7.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,430+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • CJ Abrams SSDay-to-day
  • James Wood RFOut
  • Cade Cavalli SPDay-to-day
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Dion SP

Baltimore Orioles

  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Zach Eflin SPOut

Probable pitcher

Cade Povich SP
Availability updated Sep 1, 12:51AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gunnar Henderson Batter - Hits

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L55-0

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L55-0

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
0.8runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.8Home L52-3vs Washington Nationals L55-0

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 3 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3ATHAway
W8–5ATHAway
W4–3ATHAway
L5–7STLAway
W8–7STLAway
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6MIAHome
W5–4MIAHome
W9–2MIAHome
W7–1COLHome
L1–13COLHome

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 4, Washington Nationals won 4.

DateBaltimore OriolesWashington NationalsWinner
Jun 2846Washington Nationals
Jun 2734Washington Nationals
Jun 2631Baltimore Orioles
May 1773Baltimore Orioles
May 16313Washington Nationals
May 1523Washington Nationals
Mar 2320Baltimore Orioles
Mar 2281Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Zach Eflin SPOUT
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
CJ Abrams SSDAY-TO-DAY
James Wood RFOUT
Cade Cavalli SPDAY-TO-DAY
Connelly Early SPOUT
Josiah Gray SPOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
Drew Millas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals +3.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Moneyline Washington Nationals ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals +1.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals -1.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals +2.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 11.5 ✓ HIT
26 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals +2.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Even at 11–11 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 7.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6Washington Nationals
27 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–4Washington Nationals
26 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–1Baltimore Orioles
17 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–7Baltimore Orioles
16 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals13–3Washington Nationals
15 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–2Washington Nationals
23 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals0–2Baltimore Orioles
22 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles8–1Baltimore Orioles
18 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–10Washington Nationals
17 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles6–10Washington Nationals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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