Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Washington Nationals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Under 8.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $204.

20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 8.5 total runs
Under 8.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$20.40Best price+104
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.7%
The price says49.0%

The model graded 21 markets for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 8.5 High65% chance +104
Moneyline Members only Lean53% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026: Washington Nationals won 6-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
8.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,766+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Matt Waldron RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Cade Povich SPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut
Availability updated Oct 23, 8:11PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gunnar Henderson Batter - Hits

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
5.0runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4NYMHome
L1–7NYMHome
W7–6NYMHome
W4–2DETAway
W3–1DETAway

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 4, Washington Nationals won 4.

DateBaltimore OriolesWashington NationalsWinner
Jun 2846Washington Nationals
Jun 2734Washington Nationals
Jun 2631Baltimore Orioles
May 1773Baltimore Orioles
May 16313Washington Nationals
May 1523Washington Nationals
Mar 2320Baltimore Orioles
Mar 2281Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Cade Povich SPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Reed Trimble LFDAY-TO-DAY
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Matt Waldron RPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
Ken Waldichuk RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Even at 11–11 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 7.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles: the Nationals won 6-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6Washington Nationals
27 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–4Washington Nationals
26 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–1Baltimore Orioles
17 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–7Baltimore Orioles
16 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals13–3Washington Nationals
15 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–2Washington Nationals
23 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals0–2Baltimore Orioles
22 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles8–1Baltimore Orioles
18 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–10Washington Nationals
17 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles6–10Washington Nationals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.