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Model picks & player props
Washington Nationals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game Picks
1
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Washington Nationals (Moneyline)
For Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB), model win probability 52.9%, fair odds 1.89, book price +166, model edge +15.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 5:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Washington Nationals
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Trevor Williams SPOut
  • Jake Irvin SPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Brad Lord RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut

Probable pitcher

Andrew Alvarez SP

Baltimore Orioles

  • Adley Rutschman COut
  • Samuel Basallo CDay-to-day
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Chris Bassitt SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Baz SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 12:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Gunnar Henderson Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L53-2Win rec9-5

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.4 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L53-2ATS9-5

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 4-1, 4.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
3.3implied team total
L5 RF4.4L5 RA2.0Home L53-2vs Washington Nationals L53-2

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.4 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.</p>

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Washington Nationals +2.5 (-233)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Washington Nationals +3.5 (-370)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Washington Nationals +4.5 (-556)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
6
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
28 Jun 26 Moneyline Washington Nationals ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals 2.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals 4.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals 3.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals -4.5 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 26 Spread Washington Nationals -3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 28 June 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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