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MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Fri 19 Jun 2026, 8:10 PM ET
Cleveland Guardians
VS
Houston Astros

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $244.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 9.5 total runs
Over 9.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$24.40Best price+144
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.2%
The price says41.0%

The model graded 20 markets for Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $244 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 19 Jun 2026, 8:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean54% chance +144
Total Runs Members only High99% chance Members
Team Total Members only High98% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High64% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros last met on Fri 19 Jun 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Guardians

  • Colin Holderman RPOut
  • Kahlil Watson RFOut
  • Andrew Walters RPOut

Houston Astros

  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
  • Joey Loperfido LFOut
Availability updated Nov 3, 2:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Houston Astros spread form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Cleveland GuardiansNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
5.2runs we expect
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Cleveland Guardians L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cleveland Guardians have won 1 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7TBAway
L3–7TBHome
L1–3TBHome
W3–2TBHome
L1–3TBAway

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Houston Astros are scoring 3.4 runs per game (3-2) while Cleveland Guardians are at 3.0 (3-2); Houston Astros pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Cleveland Guardians.

3.4
Houston Astros runs/G
3.0
Cleveland Guardians runs/G
Last 5 gamesHouston AstrosCleveland Guardians
Runs / game3.43.0
Hits / game5.84.6
Home runs / game0.81.0
Walks drawn / game1.21.4
Batter K / game1.65.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.22.2
Pitching K / game4.84.8
Walks allowed / game1.62.4
L5 record3-23-2

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Houston Astros won 4, Cleveland Guardians won 2.

DateHouston AstrosCleveland GuardiansWinner
Jun 2121Houston Astros
Jun 2093Houston Astros
Jun 2018Cleveland Guardians
Apr 2220Houston Astros
Apr 2158Cleveland Guardians
Apr 2092Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Joey Loperfido LFOUT
Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Colin Holderman RPOUT
Kahlil Watson RFOUT
Andrew Walters RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Houston Astros playing Cleveland Guardians. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians stats and odds.

Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians : Houston Astros Win (-120)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Guardians vs Astros, or as Astros vs Guardians. The most recent game between them was Friday 19 June 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 21 Jun 2026Houston Astros beat Cleveland Guardians 2-1 at home
  • 20 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians beat Houston Astros 8-1 on the road
  • 19 Jun 2026Houston Astros beat Cleveland Guardians 9-3 at home

Cleveland Guardians: last 5 results

  1. 19 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 3-7
  2. 18 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 1-3
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-7
  4. 15 Oct 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Rays 3-2
  5. 13 Oct 2026Lostat Tampa Bay Rays 1-3

Houston Astros: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-7
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-6
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 9-0
  4. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 13-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Athletics 5-6

Quick answers

Who won the last Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians game? Houston Astros won their last meeting 2-1 on 21 June 2026.

How have Cleveland Guardians and Houston Astros done lately? Cleveland Guardians won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Houston Astros won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros: the season so far

From every final score this season

Cleveland Guardians are 90-83 this season and Houston Astros are 81-83. Houston Astros are 39-44 at home. Cleveland Guardians are 47-39 on the road. Houston Astros score 4.5 runs a game and let in 4.8. Cleveland Guardians score 4.2 and let in 4.1. Houston Astros games have averaged 9.3 runs in total; Cleveland Guardians games have averaged 8.2. Cleveland Guardians have lost their last 3.

SeasonCleveland GuardiansHouston Astros
Won-lost90-8381-83
At home43-4439-44
On the road47-3942-39
Last 105-54-6
Runs scored a game4.24.5
Runs let in a game4.14.8
Runs scored at home4.04.2
Runs scored away4.34.8
Against winning sides28-3829-28
Current runLost 3Lost 2
Biggest win11-1 vs Kansas City Royals13-2 at Athletics
Heaviest loss13-1 at Atlanta Braves18-3 vs Los Angeles Angels

Teams they have both played

  • Against Chicago White Sox: Houston Astros lost 3-7 at home; Cleveland Guardians won 2-0 at home.
  • Against Athletics: Houston Astros won 9-0 on the road; Cleveland Guardians won 1-0 at home.
  • Against Seattle Mariners: Houston Astros lost 5-6 on the road; Cleveland Guardians won 6-5 at home.

Quick answers

How are Houston Astros doing this season? Houston Astros are 81-83 this season: 39-44 at home and 42-39 on the road.

How many runs do Cleveland Guardians score a game? Cleveland Guardians score 4.2 runs a game this season and let in 4.1, across 173 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Houston Astros 15–8 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 9.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 21 Jun 2026, Cleveland Guardians at Houston Astros: the Astros won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros2–1Houston Astros
20 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros9–3Houston Astros
19 Jun 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros9–3Houston Astros
22 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians0–2Houston Astros
21 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians8–5Cleveland Guardians
20 Apr 2026Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians2–9Houston Astros
9 Jul 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros2–4Cleveland Guardians
8 Jul 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros6–10Cleveland Guardians
7 Jul 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Houston Astros5–7Cleveland Guardians
8 Jun 2025Houston Astros @ Cleveland Guardians4–2Cleveland Guardians

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

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