On Wednesday 2 September 2026, Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 21.5 Disposals. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 22.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 22.5 Disposals. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 23.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Geelong Cats play Carlton Blues in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 23.5 Disposals. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Geelong Cats v Carlton Blues. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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