Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Looking at Moussa Diabate's recent performance, targeting him for under 12.5 rebounds feels like a savvy move. Even though he's had a solid stretch, averaging 8.8 rebounds per game in his last five outings, his home numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that lofty mark against the Indiana Pacers. At home, he's been slightly lower at 8.6 rebounds, and the Pacers aren't exactly a rebounding juggernaut, allowing him an average of just 10 boards in their last encounters.What's more telling is Diabate's overall hit rate of 100% in his last six games, but with the expectation set at over 12.5, the pressure rises significantly. With an expected stat value of only 8.08, it's hard to see him crossing that threshold. Given all this, the under looks like a smart play as he aims to maintain his efficiency without overextending.

Kobe Brown (Indiana Pacers) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Kobe Brown's rebounding numbers suggest a tough night ahead as the Hornets face off against the Pacers. Averaging only 3.2 boards over his last five games, he's been struggling to hit the 5.5 mark consistently, especially in away games. In fact, when playing on the road, his average dips to just 4.6 rebounds, and against Indiana, it's even worse-he's managed a mere 0.5 boards per game historically in away matchups. With the Pacers boasting a formidable front line, Brown is likely to find it challenging to carve out space for rebounds. His hit rate for going under this line is strong, with 14 of his last 20 away games landing below 5.5. Given these factors, placing a bet on the under makes a lot of sense; the expected stat value of just 3.03 reinforces the likelihood that he'll struggle to surpass this threshold.

Kam Jones (Indiana Pacers) Under 4.5 Assists (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets head into Indiana, all eyes should be on Kam Jones, but not necessarily for his playmaking prowess. Betting the under on his assists at 4.5 feels like the smart play. Over his last five games, he's averaged 3.8 assists, and even on the road, that number ticks up just slightly to 4.2. However, a deeper dive reveals he's only managed 2 assists against the Pacers over their last five matchups, and that number holds steady when looking at his away performance against them.Jones has hit the under in three of his last four games and an impressive 15 out of his last 19 on the road, showing that while he's a capable player, he often finds himself more as a scorer than a facilitator. With an expected assist value of just 2.77, betting the under here seems like a savvy choice.

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