Coby Mayo (NA) Under 0.5 Singles (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Red Sox gear up to face the Orioles in this intriguing matchup, keep a keen eye on Coby Mayo when it comes to singles. While Mayo has shown promise with his power, the recent trends suggest he might struggle to find the gaps against the Red Sox's pitching. Boston's staff has been overpowering, particularly at home, where they boast a strikeout rate that hovers around 25%. Moreover, Mayo’s recent performances indicate a tendency to whiff rather than connect solidly, especially against right-handed pitchers, and with the way the Red Sox are firing on all cylinders, the odds lean heavily towards him being held to a quiet night. With a model prediction underscoring his chances for a single at just 0.13, taking the ‘Under’ on 0.5 singles for Mayo seems like a smart play as the Red Sox look to stifle the Orioles' offense.

Anthony Seigler (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on July 21, all eyes will be on Anthony Seigler, but betting the under on his total bases feels like the right play. While Seigler has shown flashes of potential, he’s struggled recently against left-handed pitching, hitting just .220 in his last 30 at-bats against southpaws. With the Red Sox's ace on the mound, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate and limits hard contact, Seigler could find himself in a tough spot. The Sox's bullpen has also been formidable, making late-game rallies difficult. Add in the fact that Baltimore's lineup has been inconsistent, and it’s easy to see why a total of 1.5 bases feels a touch optimistic. With the odds stacked against him, taking the under not only aligns with recent trends but also capitalizes on a matchup that doesn’t favor Seigler's current form.

Caleb Durbin (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Red Sox prepare to face off against the Orioles, all eyes will be on Caleb Durbin, particularly when it comes to his total bases. While he’s shown flashes of potential, let’s not overlook the challenges he faces in this matchup. The Orioles’ pitching staff has been formidable lately, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could stifle Durbin’s attempts to get on base. Moreover, he’s been mired in a bit of a slump against right-handed pitching, and with the likes of Dean Kremer on the mound for Baltimore, his chances to rack up those total bases diminish. The Red Sox, while explosive, have shown some vulnerability over the past few weeks, particularly in capitalizing on every opportunity. With the betting line set at 1.5, taking the under seems to capture the essence of this matchup perfectly, as the odds tilt toward a quieter night for Durbin.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks