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Model picks & player props
Bournemouth
VS
Chelsea

Bournemouth vs Chelsea Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 6:22PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Stamford Bridge, London
Outdoor
Tue 30 Dec 2025, 7:30PM
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +128

The model graded 5 markets for Bournemouth vs Chelsea (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $228 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 30 Dec 2025, 7:30PM at Stamford Bridge.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win63.8%
The price says43.9%
Best price+128
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No High64% chance +128
Spread High98% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Bournemouth and Chelsea last met on Tue 30 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
FC Dallas
Sporting Kansas City @ FC Dallas
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $115
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+128
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Chelsea

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Bournemouth vs Chelsea: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBournemouth @ ChelseaNo line posted
4-3-1past meetings (last 8)
Draw22%Home form8-5-7Away form7-7-6
past meetings, home wins4 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Chelsea have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBournemouth @ ChelseaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Chelsea50%Bournemout55%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Chelsea's and 55% of Bournemouth's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBournemouth @ ChelseaNo line posted
77%model over %
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.555%Away ov2.560%past meetings avg2.4
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.4 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Over at 77% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Bournemouth @ Chelsea — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Bournemouth at Chelsea — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
30 Dec 25 Spread Bournemouth +4.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Bournemouth vs Chelsea in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 30 December 2025 at Stamford Bridge. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 18 meetings on record
Chelsea 9–4 across the last 18 meetings · 5 draws · these games average 2.6 goals (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Dec 2025Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–2Draw
6 Dec 2025Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
14 Jan 2025Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–2Draw
14 Sep 2024Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–1Chelsea
19 May 2024Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–1Chelsea
17 Sep 2023Chelsea @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
6 May 2023Chelsea @ Bournemouth1–3Chelsea
27 Dec 2022Bournemouth @ Chelsea2–0Chelsea
29 Feb 2020Chelsea @ Bournemouth2–2Draw
14 Dec 2019Bournemouth @ Chelsea0–1Bournemouth

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 18 meetings on file.

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