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Model picks & player props
Brentford
VS
Bournemouth

Brentford vs Bournemouth Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 1:08PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Outdoor
Tue 3 Mar 2026, 7:30PM
1
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +154

For Brentford vs Bournemouth (Soccer), this is the model’s pick — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $254 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 3 Mar 2026, 7:30PM at Vitality Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.1%
The price says39.4%
Best price+154

Brentford and Bournemouth last met on Tue 3 Mar 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
No · $100 returned $254

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 36 bookmakers compared
Winner
Brentford2.86+186Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.75+275Smarkets
Bournemouth2.63+163Kalshi
Total goals
Over2.51.72-138Kalshi
Under2.52.33+133Kalshi

Brentford vs Bournemouth odds by bookmaker

36 books · best price in green
BookBrentford winBournemouth winBournemouth 0Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetOnline2.72+1722.55+1551.88-114——
Bovada2.70+1702.50+1501.85-1181.68-1472.22+122
LowVig2.72+1722.55+1551.88-114——
Matchbook2.86+1862.60+1601.87-1151.68-1472.30+130
MyBookie2.59+1592.48+148—1.62-1612.16+116
Bally Bet2.63+1632.50+150—1.65-1542.23+123
BetMGM2.50+1502.40+140—1.62-1612.15+115
betPARX2.63+1632.50+150—1.65-1542.23+123
BetRivers2.63+1632.50+150—1.65-1542.23+123
Casumo2.63+1632.50+150—1.65-1542.23+123
Grosvenor2.63+1632.50+150—1.64-1562.20+120
Kalshi2.78+1782.63+163—1.72-1382.33+133
LeoVegas2.55+1552.45+145—1.62-1612.18+118
Polymarket2.82+1822.60+160—1.72-1382.38+138

Since the market opened: Bournemouth to win opened 2.44, best now 2.63; the over 2.5 opened 1.62, best now 1.72 (decimal, best book).

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund @ TSG Hoffenheim
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $182
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+154
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Draw
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Brentford

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Brentford vs Bournemouth: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBrentford @ BournemouthNo line posted
0-2-4past meetings (last 6)
Home form7-7-6Away form9-5-6
past meetings, home wins0 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetBrentford @ BournemouthNo line posted
76%Bournemouth win %
0-2-4past meetings (last 6)
Home GF/g1.6Away GF/g1.6

Bournemouth to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 76%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBrentford @ BournemouthNo line posted
59%both teams score %
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Bournemout55%Brentford45%
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 55% of Bournemouth's and 45% of Brentford's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 59% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBrentford @ BournemouthNo line posted
4 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.545%past meetings avg2.8
past meetings, over 2.54 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 2.8 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Brentford @ Bournemouth — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for Brentford at Bournemouth — 1 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

Brentford @ Bournemouth — where the money went

Since betting opened on Brentford at Bournemouth, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Bournemouth -0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Brentford▲ Money came for this
Spread — Brentford 0.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Bournemouth▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
03 Mar 26 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Brentford vs Bournemouth in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 3 March 2026 at Vitality Stadium. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Brentford 5–0 across the last 8 meetings · 3 draws · these games average 2.8 goals (meetings on record since 2022)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Mar 2026Brentford @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
27 Dec 2025Bournemouth @ Brentford4–1Brentford
15 Mar 2025Brentford @ Bournemouth1–2Brentford
9 Nov 2024Bournemouth @ Brentford3–2Brentford
11 May 2024Brentford @ Bournemouth1–2Brentford
2 Sep 2023Bournemouth @ Brentford2–2Draw
14 Jan 2023Bournemouth @ Brentford2–0Brentford
1 Oct 2022Brentford @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
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