Dominic Canzone (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners prepare to host the Reds on Wednesday, keep an eye on Dominic Canzone's performance at the plate. While he’s shown flashes of talent, recent trends suggest he might struggle to clear the 1.5 total bases mark today. The Reds’ pitching staff has been sneaky effective, particularly against left-handed hitters, and with Canzone’s recent struggles—he’s only managed a handful of hits in his last 20 at-bats—it’s tough to see him finding the gaps. Furthermore, the Mariners’ lineup has faced its share of ups and downs, often relying heavily on the long ball rather than consistent base hits. With the Reds bringing a solid arm to the mound, Canzone could find himself stifled. Given these dynamics, betting the under on his total bases feels like a prudent move—especially with the model suggesting a significant edge.

Sal Stewart (CIN) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Reds, all eyes will be on Sal Stewart, but taking the under on his total bases seems like the smart play today. Stewart has shown promise, yet he’s been inconsistent lately, managing only a handful of hits in his last few outings. The Mariners’ pitching staff, particularly their ace, has been a nightmare for opposing hitters, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could stifle the Reds' lineup. Additionally, Seattle's defense has tightened up, allowing them to limit scoring opportunities. The Reds have struggled against right-handed pitchers, and with the Mariners expected to start one who fits that bill, it’s likely Stewart will find himself on the wrong side of some tough at-bats. With the odds favoring the 'Under 1.5' total bases for Stewart, this matchup could see him fall short of that mark, making it a compelling bet.

Elly De La Cruz (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mariners host the Reds on July 22, all eyes will be on Elly De La Cruz’s performance at the plate. While he’s had flashes of brilliance this season, his recent form hasn't been as explosive, particularly against left-handed pitching. Seattle’s starter boasts an impressive strikeout rate, which has stifled even seasoned hitters. Looking at De La Cruz’s split stats, he’s struggled to find his rhythm away from Cincinnati, and the Mariners’ staff knows how to exploit weaknesses. With a model prediction of just 1.14 total bases for him, it’s hard to envision him clearing that 1.5 mark today. Plus, the Reds have scuffled against quality pitching, and in this matchup, we might see De La Cruz held in check. So, betting the under on his total bases makes sense, especially with the Mariners looking to assert themselves at home.

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