On Sunday 2 August 2026, Richmond Tigers play West Coast Eagles in the AFL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 16.5 Disposals, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 16.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, when it comes to backing a player to go big on disposals, Jayden Short is the man to watch when the Tigers clash with the Eagles at the MCG. Short's been a disposal magnet, averaging a solid 22.4 disposals in his last five home games, showing his class with a remarkable 80.7% disposal efficiency. Facing West Coast, he's been even sharper, averaging 20 disposals against them in his recent matchups. With his current form, Short's hitting his marks consistently, boasting a 9-game hit streak at home and a stellar 16 out of 18 overall hit rate. The model predicts him snagging 24 disposals, a figure well above the 16.5 line. So, expect Short to split the middle with ease and hit that over comfortably.

Jayden Short (Richmond) Over 17.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to hitting those disposal numbers, Jayden Short has been a consistent force, especially on his home turf at the MCG. Over his last five home games, Short has been a magnet for possessions, averaging a solid 22.4 disposals per game. His recent form is red hot, with a Contested Possessions average of 2.4 and a Disposal Efficiency of 80.7%. Facing off against the West Coast Eagles, who he's historically tallied an average of 20 disposals against, the stage is set for Short to shine. His ability to cover ground with an average of 534 meters gained and his knack for finding space with 15.8 Uncontested Possessions per game make the Over 17.5 disposals line look like a sure bet. With Short's current hit streak and reliable performance, backing him to surpass 17.5 disposals is a smart play for this Sunday's clash.

Jack Graham (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jack Graham hitting the Over 13.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against the Tigers, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Graham’s recent form on the road showcases his ability to impact the game, averaging 17.4 disposals in the last 5 away matches. His consistent ball-winning ability, coupled with a solid contested possession average of 6.2, makes him a central figure in the Eagles' midfield battles. Moreover, facing Richmond, a team he's historically performed well against with a 20 disposal average in their last encounters, sets the stage for Graham to shine once more. With a current hit streak of 3 on away games, he seems poised to continue his strong run. Expect Graham to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving the Eagles forward at the MCG.

That is how our model reads Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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