On Saturday 1 August 2026, Richmond Tigers play West Coast Eagles in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals, priced at -208 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals (-208)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Elliot Yeo hitting the Over 13.5 disposals mark against the Richmond Tigers, the numbers are painting a promising picture. Despite a slightly lower overall disposals average, Yeo has been stepping up his game in away matches lately, averaging 14.2 disposals in his last five games on the road. Facing Richmond, a team he has historically performed well against, with an average of 20.2 disposals in their recent encounters, adds weight to this bet. Yeo's ability to rack up kicks and handballs consistently, combined with his strong metres gained stats, suggests he's poised to have a significant impact in this upcoming clash. With a solid record of hitting this mark in away games, backing Yeo to surpass 13.5 disposals is a calculated move worth considering for this showdown at the MCG.
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to the clash between the Richmond Tigers and the West Coast Eagles, recent form paints a telling picture. The Tigers, despite their struggles, have shown glimpses of their potential, averaging 115.8 contested possessions and 48.2 inside 50s in their last five home games. Even though their margins and points for aren't stellar, they've been competitive in key areas. On the flip side, the West Coast Eagles have been faltering on the road, averaging just 19.6 shots at goal and 45 inside 50s in their last five away games. With a margin average of -30.4 in away games, they face an uphill battle at the MCG. Considering these trends, backing the Richmond Tigers for the win seems prudent. Their ability to contest possession and penetrate inside 50 could be the key to outlasting the Eagles on home turf.
Jake Waterman (West Coast Eagles) Over 1.5 Goals (-455)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Waterman is poised to make a splash when West Coast Eagles face off against Richmond Tigers. In his last five away games, he's been a scoring machine, averaging 1.2 goals per game. With an impressive goal accuracy of 30.2% and 4.2 shots at goal per game in away matches, Waterman has consistently been in the thick of the action. Against Richmond, he's been even more lethal, averaging 0.7 goals per game in their matchups. His recent form, combined with his ability to impact the game with 5.8 score involvements and 2.6 marks inside 50 per game, makes him a prime candidate to snag over 1.5 goals. Bet on Waterman to light up the scoreboard and lead the charge for the Eagles in this high-stakes clash at the MCG.
Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 12.5 Disposals (-333)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Elliot Yeo is poised to make a significant impact for the West Coast Eagles against the Richmond Tigers at the historic MCG. Over his last five away games, Yeo has been a midfield powerhouse, averaging a solid 14.2 disposals with a hit rate of 18 out of 20 games. Against the Tigers, he averages 14 disposals, indicating his ability to perform consistently against this opponent. His recent form also shines, with a current hit streak of 1 and an impressive overall hit rate of 16 out of 20 games. With a model prediction of 17.1 disposals and the line set at 12.5, Yeo's ability to win contested possessions, generate metres gained, and contribute both kicks and handballs make him a strong contender to surpass this mark. Expect Yeo to command the field, accumulating possessions and driving his team's midfield dominance.
Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles: Under 166.5 Total Points (-115)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When the Richmond Tigers clash with the West Coast Eagles at the hallowed MCG, expect a defensive showdown. The Tigers, known for their tenacious backline, have been conceding an average of 85.2 points in their last five home games. With their opponents, the Eagles, managing a modest 63.4 points in their recent away fixtures, points may come at a premium. Richmond's own scoring prowess has dipped, with an average of just 61.6 points at home lately, while West Coast's attack hasn't been firing on all cylinders, averaging 61.8 points overall. The combined average of points against the Tigers and Eagles sits around 92.3, well below the proposed line of 166.5. This sets the stage for a gritty, low-scoring affair, making the 'Under 166.5' a tempting bet for footy punters.
Tim Taranto (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-222)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at the numbers, Tim Taranto is poised to make a significant impact at the MCG against the West Coast Eagles. In his last 5 home games, Taranto has been getting more involved in the scoring plays, with an average of 6.4 score involvements per game. His recent form also shows a solid hit rate, bagging at least one goal in 4 out of his last 5 matches. With an average of 2.2 shots at goal per game, he's not afraid to take his chances and split the big sticks. Facing the Eagles, who he has historically performed well against with an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 encounters, Taranto is primed to snag a goal and help the Tigers secure a crucial win. Betting on Taranto to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart move given his recent form and historical performances.
That is how our model reads Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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