On Friday 31 July 2026, Richmond Tigers play West Coast Eagles in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals, priced at -217 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 13.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Elliot Yeo hitting the Over 13.5 disposals mark against Richmond, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Yeo has been a midfield workhorse, averaging 14.2 disposals in his last five away games. Facing Richmond, he's even more prolific, averaging 14 disposals in his recent encounters. With a knack for contested possessions and a solid disposal efficiency around 50.9%, Yeo is poised to make a significant impact. His ability to cover the ground is evident, averaging 226.2 meters gained. Despite a slight uptick in turnovers lately, Yeo's consistent form suggests he's primed to surpass the 13.5 disposals line. Bet on Yeo to be a key cog in the Eagles' midfield engine room.

Jake Waterman (West Coast Eagles) Over 1.5 Goals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Jake Waterman is the Eagle who's been circling the scoring zone with intent. In his last five away games, he's been averaging 1.2 goals per match, showing a keen eye for the big sticks. Despite facing Richmond's solid defense, Waterman's knack for finding space inside 50, with an average of 2.6 marks in his away games, gives him ample opportunities to split the middle. With a shots-at-goal average of 4.2 in his recent away clashes, he's not shy to have a crack when the chance arises. Considering he's upped his goal tally in recent matchups with an average of 2.2 goals overall, backing Waterman to go over 1.5 goals against the Tigers seems like a wise punt.

Elliot Yeo (West Coast Eagles) Over 12.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Elliot Yeo, the hard-nosed midfielder for the West Coast Eagles, is poised to shine in this clash against the Richmond Tigers at the hallowed MCG. Over his last five away games, Yeo has been a dominant force, averaging 14.2 disposals with a keen eye for interceptions and contested possessions. His recent form against the Tigers has been solid, averaging 14 disposals in their past encounters. With a current hit streak and a strong away game hit rate, Yeo is primed to surpass the set line of 12.5 disposals. Expect him to impact the game with his ball-winning ability and defensive prowess, making him a solid pick for the over in the player disposals market.

Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles: Under 167.5 Total Points (-116)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When the Tigers clash with the Eagles at the iconic MCG, the stage is set for a defensive showdown. Richmond has been averaging 61.6 points in their last five home games, struggling to hit their marks. Factor in West Coast's solid defensive record, conceding just 63.4 points on average in their recent away games, and you have a recipe for a low-scoring affair. The Tigers' forward line has been misfiring, managing only 8.8 target goals per game, while the Eagles have been resolute in limiting opposition scoring opportunities. With both teams showing defensive prowess and struggling to convert chances, hitting the under on 167.5 points seems like a smart play for footy punters looking to capitalize on a gritty, hard-fought battle on the field.

Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles: Under 83.5 totals_h1 (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The clash between the Richmond Tigers and the West Coast Eagles at the iconic MCG promises a fierce battle, but the data hints at a defensive showdown early on. The Tigers, known for their tenacity, have tightened up their defense in recent home games, allowing just 85.2 points on average. Meanwhile, the Eagles have been resolute on the road, conceding around 93.8 points per game. With both teams displaying disciplined defensive structures, the first half may see fewer scoring opportunities. Richmond's average of 61.6 points and West Coast's 63.4 points in their last five games suggest a gritty midfield battle. Expect the early exchanges to be hard-fought, potentially resulting in the total points staying under 83.5 at the break.

Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles: Richmond Tigers Win (+101)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The Richmond Tigers are poised to dominate the West Coast Eagles in this upcoming clash at the MCG. Looking at their recent form, the Tigers have been honing their skills, especially on their home turf. With an average of 115.8 contested possessions and 48.2 inside 50s in their last five home games, they've been relentless in creating scoring opportunities. In contrast, the Eagles have struggled on the road, averaging only 35.2 total clearances and 45 inside 50s in their last five away games. With the Tigers' solid defensive intercepts averaging 62.2, they're likely to thwart the Eagles' attacking efforts. Expect the Tigers to capitalize on their home advantage, controlling the game and snagging a victory.

That is how our model reads Richmond Tigers v West Coast Eagles. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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