Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
Miami Marlins

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins and backs Miami Marlins -2 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $401.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Miami Marlins
to win by more than 2 runs
Miami Marlins -2 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$40.10Best price+301
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.9%
The price says25.7%

The model graded 70 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $401 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 1:11 PM ET at loanDepot Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Miami Marlins -2 Lean56% chance +301
Spread Members only Lean45% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean49% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean56% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean52% chance Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Highup to 94% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 91% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 96% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Walks × 12 props Highup to 96% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins last met on Thu 13 Aug 2026: Pittsburgh Pirates won 13-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Miami Marlins
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami MarlinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Oneil Cruz CFDay-to-day
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Braxton Ashcraft SPOut
  • Esmerlyn Valdez RFOut
  • Isaac Mattson RPOut
  • Endy Rodriguez COut

Miami Marlins

  • Tyler Zuber RPOut
  • Jakob Marsee CFOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Pete Fairbanks RPOut
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Owen Caissie RFOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
Availability updated Oct 8, 2:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Griffin Conine MIA Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Braxton Ashcraft PIT Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Jake Mangum Batter - Hits
Otto Lopez MIA Batter - Total Bases
Ronny Simon PIT Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami MarlinsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Miami Marlins moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Run LineMiami Marlins run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Miami Marlins spread form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh PiratesNo line posted

Miami Marlins total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMiami Marlins team totalNo line posted
3.5runs we expect
L5 RF3.6L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Miami Marlins team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 2 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3ATLHome
L3–8ATLHome
W3–0ATLHome
L1–2CHCAway
W3–2CHCAway
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2DETAway
L3–4DETAway
L7–8DETAway
W2–1STLHome
L1–5STLHome

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Miami Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per game (4-1) while Pittsburgh Pirates are at 1.4 (1-4); Miami Marlins pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 2.4 for Pittsburgh Pirates.

4.2
Miami Marlins runs/G
1.4
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
Last 5 gamesMiami MarlinsPittsburgh Pirates
Runs / game4.21.4
Hits / game4.22.8
Home runs / game0.40.2
Walks drawn / game1.20.8
Batter K / game1.81.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.42.4
Pitching K / game1.60.8
Walks allowed / game0.80.8
L5 record4-11-4

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Miami Marlins won 4, Pittsburgh Pirates won 2.

DateMiami MarlinsPittsburgh PiratesWinner
Aug 13113Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 1282Miami Marlins
Aug 1120Miami Marlins
Jun 1442Miami Marlins
Jun 1323Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 1283Miami Marlins

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Tyler Zuber RPOUT
Jakob Marsee CFOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Pete Fairbanks RPOUT
Max Meyer SPOUT
Owen Caissie RFOUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Oneil Cruz CFDAY-TO-DAY
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Braxton Ashcraft SPOUT
Esmerlyn Valdez RFOUT
Isaac Mattson RPOUT
Endy Rodriguez COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Our Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Miami Marlins +2.5 (-476), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Pirates. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Pirates 14–13 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 13 Aug 2026, Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins: the Pirates won 13-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins1–13Pittsburgh Pirates
12 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins8–2Miami Marlins
11 Aug 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins2–0Miami Marlins
14 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates2–4Miami Marlins
13 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates3–2Pittsburgh Pirates
12 Jun 2026Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates3–8Miami Marlins
11 Jun 2025Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–2Pittsburgh Pirates
10 Jun 2025Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates2–3Miami Marlins
9 Jun 2025Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates10–3Pittsburgh Pirates
30 Mar 2025Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins3–2Miami Marlins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.