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The latest Bet Better model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 87%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +23.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:58AM UTC
MLB

Otto Lopez

MLB

+23.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -175 (1.57)
+23.6% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Fri 17 Jul, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.3%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+23.6%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases87.3%—63.7%1.15+23.6%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Otto Lopez (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers host the Marlins, Otto Lopez finds himself in a tough spot. Despite some flashes of brilliance, he’s facing a Brewers pitching staff that’s been nothing short of stellar lately. Milwaukee’s arms are holding opponents to a meager .220 batting average, making it a daunting task for any hitter to find success. Lopez has been inconsistent, often struggling against right-handed pitching, which is exactly what he’ll encounter today. The Brewers’ bullpen, one of the most formidable in the league, only amplifies this challenge. With Lopez averaging significantly under 1.5 total bases in recent outings, the trend is clear. The Marlins’ lineup has been anemic against quality pitching, and today’s matchup is poised to swing the same way. Expect Lopez to be stymied, making the ‘Under’ on total bases a savvy play in this intriguing showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -175+23.6% edge
80%hit L10
L2087%

Otto Lopez MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -175 (+23.6% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%

Otto Lopez MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Otto Lopez MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Otto Lopez MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
1avg walks · L5

Otto Lopez MLB walks: averaging 1 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
07 Jul 26 Seattle Mariners @ Miami Marlins Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Otto Lopez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.6% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers on Friday 17 July at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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