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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:12PM UTC
MLB

Otto Lopez

MIA

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+1.1% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks88.8%87.7%1.13+1.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Otto Lopez (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Miami Marlins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Otto Lopez (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-714). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs ATLU 1.5 -204
100%hit L10
Streak16L2095%
U 0.567%
U 1.5100%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 4 hit
0120

Otto Lopez MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 1.5 at -204.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs ATLU 1.5 -132
80%hit L10
Streak5L2080%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 4 hit
1310

Otto Lopez MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 1.5 at -132.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -303
90%hit L10
Streak9L2090%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Otto Lopez MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -303.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -139
90%hit L10
Streak9L2085%

Otto Lopez MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -139.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -500
90%hit L10
Streak5L2090%

Otto Lopez MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -500.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -714
80%hit L10
L2075%
Game log vs U 0.54 / 4 hit
0000

Otto Lopez MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -714.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Otto Lopez MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Otto Lopez MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Otto Lopez MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -500 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Otto Lopez (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Otto Lopez is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves on Thursday 6 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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