Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 7.5 Assists (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Warriors head into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him to eclipse 7.5 assists might be a stretch. While he's been a playmaker at home, his away numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 6.6 assists on the road, and against the Suns, that drops to a mere 3.4. With Green's recent trends showing he's gone under this total in 13 of his last 17 away games, it's hard to see him breaking through against a Phoenix defense that knows how to limit playmakers. Even when he's been effective, his assist average has dipped to 4.6 in terms of expected value. Given the context and the consistent pattern of underperformance, betting the under on 7.5 assists feels not just safe but smart.

Jalen Green (Phoenix Suns) Under 22.5 Points (-238)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Phoenix Suns host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Jalen Green as he looks to make an impact. However, betting on the under for his points at 22.5 could be a smart move. In recent matchups against the Warriors, Green has struggled, averaging just 9.6 points over his last five games against them, and it's even lower at home with a mere 14.6. Green's recent performances also suggest he's not quite hitting his scoring stride; he's averaged 20 points over his last five games, and at home, that bumps slightly to 20.4. With a hit rate of 12 out of 17 games going under this mark at home, there's a strong case to believe he'll fall short again. Given these trends, betting the under seems not only reasonable but likely to pay off when the final buzzer sounds.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds (-213)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors hit the court against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, especially when considering the under on his combined points and rebounds of 20.5. While Santos has shown flashes of promise, his recent form has been less than stellar, averaging just 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds over his last five games. On the road, those numbers dip to an even more modest 11.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Facing the Suns, Santos has historically struggled, averaging just 7.2 points against them, and on the road, that figure drops slightly to 8.2. With a strong hit rate of 3 out of his last 4 games falling under this mark and a solid away hit rate of 6 out of 8, betting the under on Santos feels like a smart move here. The data suggests he won't exceed that 20.5 threshold in this challenging matchup.

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