Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Warriors visit Phoenix, all eyes are on Draymond Green, but I'm leaning towards him falling short of 6.5 assists. Sure, he's dazzled with an average of 8 assists over his last five games, but let's dig deeper. On the road, he's averaging 6.6, a number that's bolstered by some favorable matchups. However, against the Suns, his assist average drops to just 3.4 in their last five meetings, and that's consistent even when he's away. The Suns' defense has been particularly stingy, and with Green often playing more of a facilitator role, I see him struggling to hit that 6.5 mark. With a hit rate of just 2 out of the last 3 games and Phoenix's ability to clamp down on playmakers, the Under feels like the smart play here.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, targeting Gui Santos for an Under on his points, rebounds, and assists total of 20.5 looks promising. Santos has been in a bit of a slump on the road, averaging just 11.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.2 assists away from home lately. His overall performance against the Suns shows a similar trend, with just 7.2 points per game in their last encounters. Even in his recent outings, he hasn't cracked 15 points, showcasing his struggle to balance production across categories. With the Suns' defense tightening at home, and Santos's lack of offensive rhythm, it feels like a solid bet that he stays below that 20.5 mark. Given his recent stats and the Warriors' dynamics, expecting him to come in under seems not just likely, but a sound strategy.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 15.5 Points + Assists (-122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but betting on his combined points and assists to stay under 15.5 feels like the smart play. Recently, Santos has averaged just 14.8 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, and when away from home, those numbers dip even further to 11.8 points and 4.2 assists. Against the Warriors, he's managed only 7.2 points and 2.4 assists on average, and historically, his away performances against them indicate he might only muster about 8.2 points and 3 assists. With a hit rate of just 2 out of his last 3 games and a solid 3 out of 4 on the road, it seems likely that Santos will struggle to breach that 15.5 mark, making the under a compelling choice as the Suns look to secure a crucial victory.

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