Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors prepare to face off against the Phoenix Suns, all eyes are on Gui Santos, but we're leaning toward the under on his rebounds total set at 5.5. While Santos has shown flashes of potential, his recent form suggests he may not hit that mark tonight. In his last five games, he's averaging just 4.8 rebounds overall and 4.2 against the Suns. Playing away, his numbers drop to 4.8 rebounds against this opponent, and with the Suns' frontline, which has been effective at limiting second-chance opportunities, you can expect Santos to struggle to find those boards. His hit rate for the under is strong too, hitting in 9 of his last 13 games. With a projected stat value of just 4.01, it seems wise to bet on Santos staying below 5.5 rebounds tonight.

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors : Phoenix Suns win (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Phoenix Suns are a solid bet for the upcoming game against the Golden State Warriors, and here's why: they've been on fire this season, demonstrating a high level of consistency in their play. They've not only been winning, but doing so convincingly - which is reflected in our model's heavy lean towards a Suns victory with a prediction of 0.79. It's not just about current form either. Historically, the Suns have also enjoyed a strong home court advantage, which will undoubtedly be a factor in this match-up. This, coupled with the Warriors' shaky form away from home, makes the Suns a compelling choice. So, if you're looking for a smart bet, you might want to consider riding the wave with the Suns.

Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+121)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Jordan Goodwin, but the smart play here is to lean towards the under on his rebounds at 4.5. Despite some strong performances lately, Goodwin has averaged just 3.8 rebounds over his last five games, and when facing the Warriors, he's only managed 3.4 rebounds per contest. Playing at home might seem advantageous, but his home average against Golden State dips to 3. That's a telling sign, especially considering his recent rebound averages at home are only marginally better at 5.6, suggesting he may struggle to hit that 4.5 mark. With a solid hit rate of 3 for 3 in his last outings, it's tempting, but the numbers suggest a regression is likely. So, betting the under on Goodwin feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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