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Model picks & player props
NHL
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Indoor
Thu 8 Jan 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Philadelphia Flyers

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 3 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers and backs Toronto Maple Leafs hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $183.

2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Toronto Maple Leafs
to win
Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$18.33Best price-120
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win69.5%
The price says54.6%

The model graded 3 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $183 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 8 Jan 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Toronto Maple Leafs High69% chance -120
Puck Lines Members only High98% chance Members
Saves × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers last met on Thu 8 Jan 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs
-120
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Maple LeafsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Chris Tanev DDay-to-day
  • John Tavares COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Travis Konecny RWOut
  • Nikita Grebenkin RWOut
  • Rasmus Ristolainen DOut
  • Cam York DOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:12AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dan Vladar Philadelphia Flyers Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Philadelphia FlyersNo line posted
0-5last 5 record
GF/G1.2GA/G3.8Shots/G21.2vs Leafs2-3

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePhiladelphia Flyers +1.5No line posted
0-5last 5 record
GF/G1.2GA/G3.8Shots/G21.2vs Leafs2-3

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Philadelphia Flyers — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers — recent results

Philadelphia Flyers have won 0 of their last 5 games; Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Flyers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5BOSAway
L1–2OTTAway
L1–4TBAway
L2–3CARHome
L2–3NJAway
Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–3COLAway
L3–4VGKAway
W5–4NSHHome
L2–3OTTHome
W2–1NYIHome

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Philadelphia Flyers won 1, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1.

DatePhiladelphia FlyersToronto Maple LeafsWinner
Mar 332Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 912Toronto Maple Leafs

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Flyers
PlayerStatus
Travis Konecny RWOUT
Nikita Grebenkin RWOUT
Rasmus Ristolainen DOUT
Cam York DOUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Chris Tanev DDAY-TO-DAY
John Tavares COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
Elvis Merzlikins GOUT
William Villeneuve DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers — model preview

Winning bets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Dan Vladar. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs stats and odds.

Dan Vladar (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 14.5 Saves (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Dan Vladar for Over 14.5 in the 'Player Total Saves (Alternate)' market is supported mainly by his consistent performance data and the model's prediction. Based on his last five (L5) home games, Vladar has an average of 19.4 saves per game, which is well above the line set at 14.5. Additionally, Vladar’s L5 overall average for saves is 22, further illustrating his reliability in exceeding the bet line. His current hit streak in home games is impressive at 22 games, and he has a perfect hit rate in his last 20 games, both overall and at home. Furthermore, the model's prediction of 24.53 saves is significantly higher than the line, suggesting a strong likelihood of Vladar hitting the Over. This consistent performance trend and model prediction indicate a strong rationale for betting Over 14.5 on Dan Vladar's total saves.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Flyers, or as Flyers vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Thursday 8 January 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Tue 3 Mar 2026, Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs: the Flyers won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Mar 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs2–3Philadelphia Flyers
9 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers1–2Toronto Maple Leafs

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