Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Auston Matthews is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NHL
Auston Matthews
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal
Over 0.5
-1667 (1.06)
+1.3% Edge
Buffalo Sabres
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, FUT · Indoor
Sat 25 Oct, 9:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
94.3%
Predicted Value
3.4 Shots on Goal
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Shots on Goal | 95.7% | — | 94.3% | 1.05 | +1.3% |
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Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formShots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
3.4projected shots (model)
Line0.5Model proj3.4Last oppBUFListed1
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 3.4 shots against a market line of 0.5 vs BUF. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.
Anytime Goal ScorerModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted 79%model goal chance
Last oppFLAListed5
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) NHL Anytime Goal Scorer: BetBetter's model gives a 79% chance to score in the profiled matchup vs FLA. 5 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.
PointsModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
1.6projected points (model)
Line0.5Model proj1.6Last oppFLAListed2
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) NHL Points: BetBetter's model projects 1.6 points against a market line of 0.5 vs FLA. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Auston Matthews is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs on Saturday 25 October at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.
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