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NHL

Auston Matthews

Toronto Maple Leafs

Value call

Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) has one live pick today: under 1.5 points that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
1.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.3% · before adjusting for past results 75.1% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +0.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Maple Leafs @ Seattle Kraken
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, FUT · Indoor
Wed 28 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Auston Matthews
under 1.5 points
Points Under 1.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.00 Odds-200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Auston Matthews is Under 1.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 12:27PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points75.1%67.3%66.7%1.49+8.4%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Kraken vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Auston Matthews Under 1.5 Points (-200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Auston Matthews has been a key player for the Toronto Maple Leafs, but he might find it tough to score against the Seattle Kraken. The Kraken have been really good at blocking shots this season, averaging 17 blocks per game, which is higher than most teams in the league. They also have a solid defensive style, making it difficult for opposing players to find open looks. While Matthews is a talented scorer, he may struggle to reach over 1.5 points in this matchup. The Kraken have shown they can limit scoring chances, and with both teams having similar recent performance, it could be a tight game. If the Kraken's defense holds strong, this bet could be worth a shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Auston Matthews has 8 goals and 9 assists (17 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
28 Oct 26@ SEA1234120:08
26 Oct 26@ CGY0111119:00
24 Oct 26@ EDM1012117:13
22 Oct 26vs NYR0004019:16
20 Oct 26@ CBJ1123017:06
19 Oct 26vs SJS1233020:57
17 Oct 26vs NYI0001119:56
15 Oct 26vs BUF1011122:14
13 Oct 26@ UTA1124020:12
10 Oct 26@ COL2245022:06
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs Points 1.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Toronto Maple Leafs @ Seattle Kraken Points — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Toronto Maple Leafs @ Calgary Flames Shots on Goal — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Toronto Maple Leafs @ Colorado Avalanche Shots on Goal — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Auston Matthews is Under 1.5 on Points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Maple Leafs vs Seattle Kraken on Wednesday 28 October at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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