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NHL

Samuel Ersson

Philadelphia Flyers

+1.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Saves Over 21.5 -132 (1.76)
+1.2% Edge
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Sun 11 Jan, 12:00AM
Model Probability
58.0%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
23.6 Saves

AI Analysis

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Samuel Ersson (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 21.5 Saves (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Samuel Ersson for over 21.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is backed by several significant statistics. Firstly, the model prediction of 23.55 indicates that Ersson is anticipated to make more saves than the line of 21.5. Additionally, his average number of saves in the last five home games is close to the line at 21. This suggests that his performance is consistently around this mark, and slightly improved performance would result in beating the line. The 'Shotsagainst' average of 23.6 also implies that Ersson has plenty of opportunities to make saves. Finally, the hit rate in the last 15 home games is quite high at 10/15, indicating that more often than not, Ersson exceeds the line. Therefore, these combined factors present a strong case for betting on Ersson to make over 21.5 saves in the game against Tampa Bay Lightning.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jan 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers Saves 21.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS

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