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Model picks & player props
Toronto Maple Leafs
VS
Chicago Blackhawks

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:39PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
United Center, Chicago
Indoor
Sun 16 Nov 2025, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Toronto Maple Leafs (Moneyline)
The model graded 3 markets for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $180 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 68.9%, fair odds 1.45, book price -125, model edge +13.3%. Tip-off Sun 16 Nov 2025, 12:00AM at United Center.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs
-125
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Toronto Maple LeafsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Zack MacEwen COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Calle Jarnkrok COut
  • Dakota Joshua COut

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Connor Bedard COut
Availability updated Jul 18, 8:42PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Spencer Knight Chicago Blackhawks Saves 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Toronto Maple LeafsNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Chicago Blackhawks moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineToronto Maple Leafs -1.5No line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Chicago Blackhawks puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Chicago Blackhawks total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Chicago Blackhawks — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Toronto Maple Leafs at Chicago Blackhawks — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Blackhawks
PlayerStatus
Connor Bedard COUT
Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Zack MacEwen COUT
Max Domi COUT
Calle Jarnkrok COUT
Dakota Joshua COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Chicago Blackhawks — model preview

Winning bets for Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Spencer Knight. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs stats and odds.

Spencer Knight (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 25.5 Saves (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Spencer Knight's recent performance provides strong reasoning for betting over 25.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market. His average number of saves in the last five home games is 29.4, significantly higher than the line set by the bookmaker. His overall save average for the last five games is even higher at 32.4. In fact, Knight has surpassed the 25.5 saves line in five consecutive games, underscoring his consistent high performance. Furthermore, the Blackhawks' defense, as indicated by the high average of 32 shots against over the last five home games, suggests that Knight will likely face a significant number of shots in the upcoming game against the Maple Leafs, thereby increasing the chances of him making more than 25.5 saves. These trends and averages align well with the model prediction of 27.21 saves.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Chicago Blackhawks in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Leafs vs Blackhawks, or as Blackhawks vs Leafs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 November 2025 at United Center. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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