On Saturday 3 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stage is set for a clash that may not produce the fireworks many expect. Forest has struggled at home, scoring a meager 0.4 goals per game over their last five matches, while their defense has allowed just 0.8 goals on average. This trend hints at a team more focused on solidity than flair. Arsenal, while riding a wave of form with four wins in their last five outings, has also seen their scoring dip slightly away from home, averaging just 1.2 goals. With both teams showing signs of defensive resilience and low expected goals, especially when combined with Forest's lack of offensive output, the Under 2.5 market holds strong appeal. Given these recent trends and records, a tense affair seems likely, where goals could be at a premium.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stark contrast in form makes for an intriguing clash. Forest has struggled at home recently, netting a paltry 0.4 goals per game while allowing opponents to score an average of 0.8. Their last five outings have seen them fail to find the back of the net, raising questions about their attacking capabilities. Meanwhile, Arsenal's defense is in fine form, conceding just 0.8 goals per match away from home and boasting a solid record against Forest, winning three of their last five encounters. With Forest’s xG suggesting a worrying lack of offensive threat—averaging a mere 0 at home—Arsenal is likely to control the game defensively. Given these trends, betting on 'No' for both teams to score feels like a savvy move, as Forest’s scoring woes might just see this match end with Arsenal taking all the spoils without reply.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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