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Model picks & player props
Nottingham Forest
VS
Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 28, 12:30AM UTC

Our model graded 21 markets for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa and backs Nottingham Forest hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $294.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep 2026, 2:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
54.1%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Nottingham Forest Draw No Bet +194

The model graded 21 markets for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $294 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 12 Sep 2026, 2:00PM at Villa Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.7%
The price says32.7%
Best price+194
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Nottingham Forest Long-shot35% chance +194
Spread Members only High95% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot25% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot25% chance Members
Total Corners Members only High73% chance Members
Total Cards Total Members only Lean48% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Lean54% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High97% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean50% chance Members
To Receive a Card × 1 prop Long-shotup to 27% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa last met on Sat 12 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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Nottingham Forest · $100 returned $294

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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Nottingham Forest
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Nottingham ForestDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Nottingham ForestSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Cards TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal CornersThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Nottingham Forest

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ibrahim Mbaye Paris Saint-Germain To Receive a Card

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNottingham Forest @ Aston VillaNo line posted
11-5-4Aston Villa form 2024-25
Home form11-5-4

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest moneyline; the model reads Aston Villa's win chance at 44% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Nottingham Forest at Aston Villa — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa — model preview

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest, 12 September 2026. Top of the list: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On Saturday 12 September 2026, Aston Villa play Nottingham Forest in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -333 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-333)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Aston Villa prepares to host Nottingham Forest, the stage is set for a goal-laden encounter. Villa's home form has been solid, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five games at Villa Park, while they've also conceded an average of 1.6. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has struggled away from home but shows a glimmer of promise, netting three goals in their last two fixtures. Both teams have a history of producing action when they meet, with Villa winning three of their last five encounters against Forest. The matchups set up a tantalizing narrative: Villa's attacking prowess against a Forest side that, despite defensive frailties, can find the net. With both teams showing potential for goals, the Over 1.5 total seems an enticing prospect, especially given the attacking numbers and recent trends. Expect fireworks!

That is how our model reads Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
DateMarketPickResult
12 Sep 26 Spread Nottingham Forest +0.25 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Spread Nottingham Forest +3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Spread Nottingham Forest +2.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Spread Nottingham Forest +1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Total Cards Total Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Spread Nottingham Forest +0.5 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Nottingham Forest ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Draw No Bet Nottingham Forest ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Total Goals Over 1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as Forest vs Villa, or as Villa vs Forest. The most recent game between them was Saturday 12 September 2026 at Villa Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 54.1% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
Aston Villa 4–3 across the last 9 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2022)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Sep 2026Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa1–2Nottingham Forest
12 Apr 2026Aston Villa @ Nottingham Forest1–1Draw
3 Jan 2026Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa3–1Aston Villa
5 Apr 2025Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
14 Dec 2024Aston Villa @ Nottingham Forest2–1Nottingham Forest
24 Feb 2024Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa4–2Aston Villa
5 Nov 2023Aston Villa @ Nottingham Forest2–0Nottingham Forest
8 Apr 2023Nottingham Forest @ Aston Villa2–0Aston Villa
10 Oct 2022Aston Villa @ Nottingham Forest1–1Draw
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