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Model picks & player props
Leeds United
VS
Arsenal

Leeds United vs Arsenal Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 13, 4:50AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Emirates Stadium, London
Outdoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 11:30AM
17
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Goals +124

The model graded 17 markets for Leeds United vs Arsenal (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 11:30AM at Emirates Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.1%
The price says42.6%
Best price+124
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 2.5 Lean52% chance +124
Total Goals High74% chance —
Spread High79% chance —
Spread Lean57% chance —
Spread High91% chance —
Spread High97% chance —
Total Goals High88% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot22% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot22% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
How they've been scoring this season
Leeds UnitedArsenal
Won-lost1-0-23-0-0
Goals scored per game1.02.0
Goals allowed per game0.70.3
On the road / at home1-0-1 away2-0-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWDDWWW
Their games average 2.0 total goals this season.
From the 3 Leeds United and 3 Arsenal games on our books this season.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 65 of 136 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 12
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
2.5
+124
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Arsenal

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Leeds United vs Arsenal: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineLeeds United @ ArsenalNo line posted
5-1-0past meetings (last 6)
Home form10-8-2Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins5 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Both Teams to ScoreLeeds United @ ArsenalNo line posted
4 / 6past meetings, both scored
Arsenal65%Leeds Unit70%
past meetings, both scored4 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 65% of Arsenal's and 70% of Leeds United's recent matches.

Total GoalsLeeds United @ ArsenalUnder +3.5 -357
83%model over %
4 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.3
past meetings, over 2.54 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 3.3 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Under at 83% here.

Leeds United @ Arsenal — what the model found

Our model graded 17 betting markets for Leeds United at Arsenal — 17 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 17 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 16 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Leeds United vs Arsenal in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 10 October 2026 at Emirates Stadium. The model has generated 17 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Arsenal 7–0 across the last 8 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 3.6 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
31 Jan 2026Arsenal @ Leeds United0–4Arsenal
23 Aug 2025Leeds United @ Arsenal5–0Arsenal
1 Apr 2023Leeds United @ Arsenal4–1Arsenal
16 Oct 2022Arsenal @ Leeds United0–1Arsenal
8 May 2022Leeds United @ Arsenal2–1Arsenal
18 Dec 2021Arsenal @ Leeds United1–4Arsenal
14 Feb 2021Leeds United @ Arsenal4–2Arsenal
22 Nov 2020Arsenal @ Leeds United0–0Draw
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