On Friday 2 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sunday's clash between Nottingham Forest and Arsenal presents an intriguing opportunity to bet on the total goals being under 2.5. Forest has struggled at home lately, managing a meager average of just 0.4 goals in their last five home games. Their xG reflects this dire form, sitting at zero, indicating a lack of genuine scoring chances. Meanwhile, Arsenal, despite their strong away record, isn't a high-scoring machine either; they've averaged only 1.2 goals on the road against opponents scoring just 0.8. Given Forest's inability to find the net and Arsenal's tendency to control games defensively, it’s likely we’ll see a tight matchup. With the home side's struggles and Arsenal opting for a more measured approach, a low-scoring affair seems inevitable. The numbers align, making the under 2.5 goals an appealing bet in this contest.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Nottingham Forest hosts Arsenal, the recent form of both teams paints a compelling picture for a bet on “No” for both teams to score. Forest has struggled mightily, averaging a mere 0.4 goals per game at home over their last five, with a woeful xG of 0.0. They’ve only managed to find the back of the net twice in their last five matches. On the other side, Arsenal has been solid defensively, allowing just 0.8 goals per game during this stretch. With Forest's lack of attacking threat and Arsenal’s robust defensive setup, the likelihood of both teams finding the net seems slim. Arsenal’s recent away form, where they’ve managed to keep clean sheets, only adds to this narrative. Given these trends, the “No” in the Both Teams to Score market feels like a savvy play.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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