On Thursday 1 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the case for betting on under 2.5 total goals is compelling. Forest’s recent form at home has been troubling, managing just 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, while their opponents have been equally stifled, averaging only 0.8 goals scored against them. Their xG stats highlight this struggle, with both teams posting near-zero figures recently. Arsenal, despite a solid away record with four wins in their last five outings, has shown a tendency to grind out results rather than rack up goals, averaging 1.2 away goals. Moreover, Forest’s defensive shape and Arsenal’s cautious approach suggest a tighter contest. With a history of low-scoring encounters between these teams, expecting fewer than three goals seems not just plausible, but likely. This matchup has all the ingredients for a tense, low-scoring affair.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the odds favor a low-scoring affair. Forest has struggled significantly at home, averaging a meager 0.4 goals in their last five matches there, while allowing an average of 0.8. Their xG numbers tell a similar story; they simply aren’t creating enough chances, posting nil in their last five outings. Arsenal, on the other hand, has been strong away with a solid 4-0-1 record recently, but their scoring remains modest at 1.2 goals per game on the road. With both teams’ recent form and statistics leaning towards a lack of goals—especially for Forest—betting on 'No' for both teams to score seems prudent. The matchup paints a picture of Arsenal dominating possession while Forest struggles to find the net, solidifying the case for a clean sheet for either side.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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