On Wednesday 30 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to face Arsenal, the evidence points towards a low-scoring affair. Forest’s recent form at home has been dismal, averaging just 0.4 goals in their last five matches, and they’ve not managed to find the net against Arsenal in their last three encounters. Their xG stats reflect a troubling trend, showing they’re not generating meaningful chances. On the flip side, Arsenal, while strong in their recent away games with an average of 1.2 goals, face a Forest defense that’s been tight, conceding just 0.8 goals at home. With Forest struggling to create and Arsenal not being overly prolific on the road, the odds favor a match that stays under 2.5 goals. Given these recent patterns and statistics, a bet on the under seems a savvy play.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Nottingham Forest faces Arsenal, the numbers tell a clear story: Forest has struggled to find the back of the net lately, averaging just 0.4 goals at home over the last five games. Their lack of firepower is stark, especially when you consider they've only managed to score 0.8 goals against opponents during this stretch. Arsenal, on the other hand, may be on a roll with four wins out of five, but they’re not an offensive juggernaut away from home, averaging just 1.2 goals on the road. Moreover, the defensive stats support this prediction. Forest’s average expected goals against is only 0.8 at home, while Arsenal’s away opponents have netted even less. With Forest’s recent home form and Arsenal’s scoring woes away, betting on "No" for both teams to score seems like a savvy play in this matchup.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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